textfiles/politics/GUNS/illeffec.txt
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Ill Effects of Gun Ctrl (X-Post)
| The Ill Effects of Gun Control |
| Davd Mercer |
| 31 October 1995 |
| |
| |
| The problem of crime has befuddled our politicians and |
| elected representatives for years. The only result has been |
| a loss of our essential liberties and freedoms with no |
| abatement to the threat of crime. Indeed, in the last forty |
| years, our society has witnessed an increase in the rates of |
| all classes of crime. Yet, recent data indicates that this |
| trend is not irreversible. Our experiences in Florida and |
| Oregon seem to indicate that turning back gun control laws |
| and returning power to the people can be effective at |
| reducing all sorts of crime |
| |
| How can this be? How can it be that rescinding these laws |
| designed to curb crime would actually decrease the crime |
| rates? After all, look at the successes of gun control: New |
| York, Washington, Chicago, Detroit, and our own great state |
| of California -- all havens from the gun-ridden |
| crime-infested countryside. |
| |
| The answer to this paradox is in economics. Guns are a |
| tradable commodity, and, like other tradable commodities, |
| are subject to the economic laws of supply and demand. |
| |
| To demonstrate these concepts, take the simple orange. I |
| bought this orange for sixty-five cents. Two months ago, I |
| could have bought an identical orange for almost half that |
| price, and, by January first, I will be paying two dollars |
| or more. Or rather, I won't be paying two dollars or more |
| for the orange. You see, as the price of something |
| increases, a person's willingness to purchase it decreases. |
| Thus in the Winter, when oranges must be imported from the |
| far corners of the world, prices are higher and the chances |
| you will buy one are lower. Only the very rich and those of |
| us needing one for a speech will be buying. |
| |
| Thus, the rule of demand: demand is inversely related to |
| price; when price increases, demand decreases, and when |
| price decreases, demand increases. |
| |
| The opposite is true of supply. Have you noticed winter |
| coats appearing in stores where there where none four months |
| ago? Warm clothing featuring in department stores' Fall |
| sales? The reason is simple: four months ago it was hot, |
| no-one wanted to buy a winter coat, and, consequently, in |
| order to sell the coats, prices would have to have been low. |
| The lower the selling price, the smaller the profit margins, |
| so fewer corporate resources were dedicated to these lower |
| margin items -- better to put the tailors and seamstresses |
| to work on sun-dresses and shorts. As the price has crept |
| upward in recent months, more manufacturing resources have |
| been put to work making coats, so now you see more of them |
| in the store. |
| |
| The rule of supply: that supply is directly related to |
| price; when prices rise, supply rises too, and when prices |
| drop, supply also drops. |
| |
| Gun control laws are simply attempts to manipulate the |
| market in firearms so as to reduce the number of guns in |
| circulation. By restricting supply, gun control advocates |
| hope to drive up the price of firearms and so -- remember |
| the rule of demand -- reduce demand for them. Some of the |
| more common attempts have been: |
| |
| 1. taxes and licensing fees on firearms and ammunition, |
| which have the direct result of driving up prices; |
| |
| 2. waiting periods, which are a "time tax" on firearms; |
| and |
| |
| 3. bans, which drive the market underground into the |
| higher-priced black market. |
| |
| All of these methods have the effect of increasing the |
| purchase price of firearms and so decrease their demand and |
| circulation. So far so good. That's what we wanted, wasn't |
| it? |
| |
| But remember the orange? Recall the two classes of people I |
| said would continue to buy oranges even at Winter prices: |
| the very rich, and, only half in jest did I say, those of us |
| giving speeches about them. |
| |
| Let's concentrate on that second group because, as we all |
| know, the rich are different. The second group: those with |
| a special need. |
| |
| You and I might consider it no certainty that we will need a |
| gun, so there are limits to the price we are willing to pay |
| for one. But there is a class of people who can not only |
| say with absolute certainty that they will be in situations |
| where one is required, but actually willingly enter such |
| situations: criminals. This class of people will pay just |
| about any price -- certainly black market prices -- for a |
| gun. |
| |
| Economists call this "inelastic demand." |
| |
| To summarize so far: although well-intentioned, traditional |
| gun control laws serve only to disarm law-abiding citizens |
| who were never inclined to use them in the first place. This |
| is not a negligible effect. Criminological studies indicate |
| that guns are used by civilians some two-and-a-half million |
| times a year to prevent crimes. Imagine, if the gun control |
| lobbies got all they wanted, two-and-a-half million more |
| crimes this year. |
| |
| But this is only half the story. Gun control laws also have |
| an unexpected effect on supply. Remember the coat? As |
| prices rose, the number of coats for sale also rose. So it |
| is with firearms. |
| |
| As restrictions on firearm ownership and possession raise |
| the price of firearms, the black marketeers have ever more |
| impetus to supply any demand that remains. |
| |
| We have seen this effect with narcotics. Even with -- or |
| perhaps b/c of -- the total ban on these drugs, they are now |
| as easy to obtain as a pack of cigarettes. Indeed, easier |
| for those under 18 -- you don't get carded when you purchase |
| drugs off the street. |
| |
| It is ironic -- and sometimes tragic -- that these laws |
| designed to restrict supply actually have the opposite |
| effect. Any reduction in firearm circulation due to a gun |
| ban is not for lack of supply -- the black market will |
| certainly supply any and all remaining demand -- but rather |
| a result of the reduced demand by those who would not use |
| them for malice. |
| |
| As we have seen with drugs, black markets increase crime. In |
| the case of firearms, gun control will increase the expected |
| pay-out from a burglary or robbery attempt. |
| |
| o The thief will be less likely to get himself injured |
| or killed due to the fact that his victim will |
| likely be unarmed. |
| |
| o Should the thief discover a gun on his victim's |
| premises, the value of this booty is greatly |
| increased by the higher prices he will receive on |
| the black market. |
| |
| And firearm registration exacerbates this problem by |
| providing organized crime with lists of names and addresses |
| where these valuable items may be found. |
| |
| It is indeed unfortunate that the problem of crime cannot be |
| so simply eliminated. However, these are the facts, and |
| they are supported by our real-world experiences. Florida |
| witnessed a sharp drop in its crime rates following the |
| relaxation of some of its restrictions on possession and |
| carriage of firearms, that effectively returned power to We |
| the People. This is the reality, and no amount of cajoling, |
| manipulation, or deception by the gun control lobbies and |
| their minions can change this fact. If we are truly to make |
| headway against crime, we must look at the facts and the |
| evidence rather than the political rhetoric and sophistry. |
|