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670 lines
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Plaintext
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- N O T E F O R U F O N E T
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Lyndon LaRouche is, without a doubt, the most controversial figure
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ever produced since, for instance, Mussolini. He has been called
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"a small time Hitler" by Irwin Suall, who was later sued by LaRouche
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for this remark and was found innocent by a jury of LaRouche's peers.
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In the past 20 years Lyndon LaRouche is, perhaps, the person who
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has singlehandedly set back civilization's progress decades, via
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racial hate, religious ignorance, and civil terrorism, through a
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large private information-gathering service and political mechanations.
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He is also extreamly bright (perhaps even brilliant), and when not
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in manic, paranoidal, delusional savior mode, can be quite lucid.
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The following article concerns a futuristic colonization of Mars.
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For more information of the LaRouchite Cult, contact The Astro-Net.
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-d rice.
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======================================================================
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MARS COLONIZATION BY 2027 A.D.
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by Lyndon H. LaRouche
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"What I am about to present to you are the highlights of
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present U.S. plans for establishing a permanent colony on Mars by
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approximately the year 2027 A.D. The plans to be outlined here
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are based on the two somewhat similar, but slightly differing
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versions of the plan as developed by various U.S. specialists.
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One plan is that first presented at a July 1985 conference in
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honor of the space pioneer, Krafft Ehricke, who died at the end
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of 1984. The second plan, is one drafted by the U.S. Space
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Commission, and presented approximately a year after the Krafft
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Ehricke conference. This presentation will emphasize the
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approach laid out at the Krafft Ehricke memorial conference, but
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it will also make use of important features of the proposals by
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the U.S. Space Commission.
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"For this purpose, I ask you to come with me, in your
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imagination, to a Wednesday in September, in the year 2036
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A.D., nine years after the Mars colony has been founded.
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Starting from an imaginary television broadcast to Earth on 1800
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hours London time, that day, let us look from that day and
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year, back to the time of the United States' adoption of the
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Mars colonization project, and trace each major step of the
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project from the year 1989, up to the year 2027, the year the
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first permanent colony on Mars is finally established.
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"Those who have worked to prepare this presentation, have
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thought that we must use our powers of imagination in this way.
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It is thought, that we must focus attention on our destination
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as we outline each step of a journey. It seems to us, that
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that is the only way this project, and its importance for all
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mankind, can be properly understood.
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"To present the project in this way, it is necessary to
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include some imaginary political figures and political events,
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so that we might present this as a story. However, the
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technical facts we use here represent the scientific and related
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facts of the Mars colonization plan as those facts exist today."
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----------------------------------------------------------------
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THE WOMAN ON MARS
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=================
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The BBC television studio's clock says that it is 1600 hours
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in London, on Wednesday, September **, 2036 A.D. From **
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millions miles away, on Mars, a televised image travels **
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minutes across space, to be picked up by the giant geostationary
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receiver hovering over the South Atlantic, from where the signal
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is relayed to other satelites, reaching waiting disk-antennas
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around the world. A woman's face appears on the BBC screen.
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The woman on the screen is in her late thirties. The sight
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of her familiar features brings expressions of admiration to the
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viewing audiences now receiving this live broadcast around most
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of the world. She is Dr. Ellen Jones, chief executive of the
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Mars colony, and the daughter of the famous space pioneer, Dr.
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Walter Jones, who headed the U.S.A.'s Mars-colonization program
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from 2008 until his retirement in 2027.
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"I bring you greetings from your 683,648 relatives and
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friends living here on Mars, and some very good news," she
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begins. "Our astrophysicists agree, that with our latest
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series of observations at our Cyclops III radiotelescope, we
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have solved at least a good part of the mystery of what you know
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as black holes. We are convinced that we are at the verge of
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fundamentally new ideas about how our universe works."
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The TV audience followed her five-minute televised report
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with a scientific interest which would have been unimaginable
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when the Mars-colonization mission was first launched by the
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U.S., back in March 1989.
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The 1990s flights of transatmospheric craft up to stations
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in low Earth orbit, had revived the spirit of the popularity of
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space-exploration from the Apollo-project period of the 1960s.
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After Earth's first geostationery space-terminal had been
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completed near the end of the 1990s, manned flights to the Moon
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had sson become routine. Over the 1990s, the point was reached
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that every school-child, not only in the U.S., Europe, and
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Japan, but throughout the world. demanded to know everything
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possible about space.
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Beginning the 1990s, fewer and fewer university students
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attended courses in the social sciences, as the physical
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sciences, including space biology, took over the classrooms
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almost completely. Even at pre-school ages, more and more
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children, asked what gift they wished for Christmas, would
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answer, "a telescope." As the industrialization of the Moon
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began near the end of the Twenty-First Century's first decade, to
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look up was to express optimism about the human race's future.
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Space and the spirit of adventure became one and the same.
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There had been a deeper quality of changes in attitudes.
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What had been the most popular competitive sports of the
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Twentieth Century became less popular, and achievement in
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swimming, track and field, and mountain-climbing the most
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popular features of physical education programs. "Keeping in
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shape for space-travel," was the value which more and more
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attached to physical education.
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Twentieth-Century man would be astonished to know the new
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way in which "spirit of adventure" was translated during the
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early decades of the Twenty-First. Some things Twentieth
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Century man would have recognized. Being the first to set foot
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on some planetary body, was of course a commonplace fantasy
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among children and youth. The difference was, most teen-agers,
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and some much younger, already knew the real purpose of space-
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exloration. That purpose was, to acquire knowledge which the
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human race needed, and could not gain without scientific
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exploration of our universe in a way which could not be done
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without travelling far beyond Earth's orbit. The idea of
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adventure, was not a matter of simply getting to some strange
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place out there. Exciting adventure, was to participate in
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making some exciting new discovery in space, which would be
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useful to the majority of the human race remaining back here on
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Earth.
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So, those children and youth gobbled up every bit of
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information they could, with the purpose being to understand
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what kind of knowledge mankind was seeking out there.
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The last two years, 2025-2026, just before the building of
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the first permanent colony on Mars, had seen the most rapid
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transformation in popular values here on Earth.
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The TV screens had been filled often with images of those
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giant spacecraft, each much larger than a Twentieth Century
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ocean liner, taking off from the vicinity of Earth's
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Geostationery space-terminal, in flotillas of five or more,
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each seeming to thunder silently in the near-vacuum under one-
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gravity acceleration. By then, a permanent space-terminal was
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being constantly manned in Mars orbit. The televised broadcasts
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from that terminal showed the monstrous space-craft arriving.
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Earth's television screens showed the gradual accumulation of
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that vast amount of material in Mars orbit, waiting for the day
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it would descend to Mars surface. TV viewers on Earth saw the
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first craft, designed to descend and rise through the thin
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atmosphere of Mars, and saw views of approaching Mars surface
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from the cockpit, through the eyes of the cameras.
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A great anticipation built up throughout Earth's population
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during those last two preparatory years. Then, Earth went
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through what was afterward described as the "sleepless year," as
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the first city was assembled on Mars, during 2027, Audiences
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on Earth demanded to see every step of the construction relayed
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back here. Nearly everyone on Earth became thus a "sidewalk
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superintendent" for as many available hours as his or her sleep-
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starved eyes could be kept open. On waking, it was the same.
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The daily successes reported from Mars were discussed as widely
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and in as much detail as Twentieth Century sports fans debated
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the details of a weekend's football play.
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By then, holographic projections had become as economical
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and commonplace as personal computers had been during the 1980s.
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Building a synthetic holographic model of the solar system, and
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constructing a powered-flight trajectory, such as one between
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Earth and Mars, became quite literally child's play. A child's
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parent could purchase a packaged program at a local store, and
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the child often insisted that this be done. Turning on one's
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system, and updating the positions of the planets and the course
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of a space-flotilla flight in progress, became a habit with
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many. The same was done with various stages of the construction
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of the first permanent colony. Whatever was seen on the TV
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screen, was something one wished to reconstruct. The passive
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TV watching of the Twentieth Century had come to an end.
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The first large-aperture radiotelescopes had been
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constructed a millions or so miles from Mars, as soon as the
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manned orbiting space-terminal had been completed. The system
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of observatories and space-laboratories associated with them,
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was expanded rapidly, once the first hundred thousand permanent
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colonists had begun to settle in. Popular fascination here on
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Earth, shifted its focus somewhat from the Mars colony itself,
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to these new projects.
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It was such a world-wide audience which sat or stood,
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absorbed with every sentence of Dr. Jones' five-minute report,
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either as it was being broadcast, or a when morning reached them
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a few hours later. Throughout the planet, over the course of
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that Wednesday and Thursday, there was the eerily joyful sense
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that humanity had reached a major milestone in the existence of
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our species. It would be said, in later decades, than on that
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day in 2036, the Age of Reason had truly begun.
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At the beginning of the 1950s, space pioneers such as Willy
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Braun had begun working-out the specifications for manned flights
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to Mars. One leading Peenemunde veteran, NASA's Krafft
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Ehricke, had been certain that the U.S. could have sent a manned
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exploratory flight to Mars as early as the 1980s.
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Unfortunately, near the end of 1966, the United States had cut
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back massively on its aerospace program. Presidents Johnson and
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Nixon did not eliminate President Kennedy's popular commitment to
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a manned landing on the Moon from the NASA program, but most of
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the other aerospace projects were cut back, and cut back
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savagely as soon as the program of initial Moon landings had been
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completed. Krafft Ehricke continued toward his completion of
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the design for industrialization of the Moon, but he died in
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1984, his work nearly completed on paper, with no visible
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prospect that the U.S. would resume such a commitment during the
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forseeable future.
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It was not until shortly after Ehricke's death that a
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renewed U.S. commitment to colonization of Mars appeared. The
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proposal for a permanent colony on Mars as early as the middle
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2020s, was a featured presentation at a Virginia conference held
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in honor of Krafft's memory, in July 1985. Nearly a year after
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that, the U.S. Space Commission adopted the same target-date,
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and its proposal was endorsed, although without significant
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funding, by President Ronald Reagan. However, the Mars-
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colonization project was a featured part of the January 1989
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State of the Union address of the new President. During March
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of 1989 a U.S. Moon-Mars Colonization Commission was established.
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During that month, the Congress rushed through approval of
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treaty-agreements which the President negotiated with Japan and
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western European governments, establishing these allies as
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partners in the U.S.-sponsored Moon-Mars Colonization Project.
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Popular enthusiasm for the project was so great, that the
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President was able to secure a $5 billions initial budgetary
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allotment for the new project. Japan matched this with an
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sizably increased allotment to its own aerospace program shortly
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after that. Confident that changes in U.S. policies were going
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to bring the world out of what threatened to become a major
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depression, western European governments came close, in total,
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to matching Japan's bugetary allotment.
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The successive phases of the Moon-Mars colonization project
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were agreed upon that same year.
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It was quickly understood, that planting a permanent colony
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on Mars is a far different sort of undertaking than sending a
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manned exploratory vessel to visit Mars. Leaders recognized,
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that to establish a colony of even a few hundreds members of
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scientific parties on Mars would require a very large complex of
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production workers, agriculturalists, so forth.
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Back at the end of the 1980s, most citizens and politicians
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did not yet understand the significance of the fact that Mars is
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an average 55 millions distance from Earth during the period one
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might ordinarily think of making such a flight. To sustain
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just a few hundreds persons there, was, by late Twentieth-
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Century standards, a tremendous number of ton-miles of freight
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to be shipped from Earth annually. The scientists understood
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this immediately, of course, but it required a lot of effort to
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make this clear to most of the politicians, and to popular
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opinion.
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The scientists realized very soon, that we should plan to
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put not just hundreds of scientists, engineers, and
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technicians, on Mars. The purpose for going to Mars in the
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first place was scientific investigations. The main purpose was
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to build a system of enormous radiotelescopes in the region of
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space near Mars, and to conduct the construction, maintenance,
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and improvements of these observatories from bases both in Mars
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orbit and on the surface of the planet. Using U.S. experience
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in demonstration-tests of trained human individuals efficiency
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working in low-gravity Earth orbit, it was estimated, that to
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construct as many observatories as Earth would need to explore
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the universe in as fine detail as must be done from Mars orbit,
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would require hundreds of thousands of man-hours each year.
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This figure included estimates on the number of days a year a
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human being could safely work in a very low-gravity field.
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The scientists estimated, that the cost of keeping a
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research worker alive on Mars adds up a total amount of equipment
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more than ten times required to sustain a scientist in the middle
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of the Sahara or Antarctica. This did not include the estimated
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costs of transporting all that tonnage from Earth to Mars. The
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scientists explained to the politicians, "Mars is a very cold
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place by Earth standards, with a very thin atmosphere, a
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shortage of known water-supplies, and a lower gravity than
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Earth. People living on Mars must live in man-made environments
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under protective domes. The costs of maintaining those domes,
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of maintaining water supplies, of maintaining the atmosphere,
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and maintaining an acceptable temperature within the artificial
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climate, are enormous by Earth standards." The biggest factor
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of cost those scientists had to consider was the cost of energy;
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they estimated that more than ten times the amount on energy
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must be available, per person, on Mars, than the energy
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directly consumed by research teams in the Sahara or Antartica.
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They decided that the basic source of energy used on Mars
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would have to be thermonuclear fusion. They pointed out, that
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the Mars colony would need very concentrated sources of
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industrial energy, to enable the colony to produce food and to
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sustain itself with the largest part of its requirements in
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materials.
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So, it was agreed that the way to sustain our teams of
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research workers on Mars, was to build a local supporting
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economy in Mars. They estimated that between a quarter and a
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half millions total population would be the minimum size for a
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successful colony. They thought that this might be sufficient,
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if we gave Mars the new generation of industrial technologies
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which were in the initial development stages on Earth back during
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the 1980s.
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They saw, that to get that number of people to Mars,
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together with all that was needed to start up a colony of this
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size, was plainly impossible using the methods worked out for
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sending a manned exploratory flight to Mars. To lift that
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amount of weight from Earth's surface, up into high Earth orbit,
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by conventional rocket methods in use in the 1980s, was beyond
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possible limits of cost. Even if the cost were greatly reduced
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by improved methods of lift-off, the amount of weight which
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would have to be lifted to deliver the requirements of a quarter
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to half a millions Mars colonists from Earth, was still so
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costly as to be out of the question.
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The politicians had imagined, wrongly, that starting a
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colony on Mars was like establishing a research base-station in
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the Antarctic. The politicians imagined, that the
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technologies developed for sending a manned team of explorers
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could be expanded to transport a much larger number of
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colonists. The scientists had to make clear why this idea was
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badly mistaken.
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First of all, human bodies are designed to function under
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one Earth gravity, or at least something near to that. The
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human body might be able to adapt to gravities a large fraction
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of those on Earth, but long flights at nearly zero-gravity are
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very risky, and were thought to be quite possibly fatal. So,
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the idea of sending people to Mars in the way we sent astronauts
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to the Moon, was ruled out. The best way they knew to create
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the effect of one Earth gravity in space-craft was to have that
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spacecraft constantly powered by one Earth gravity's worth of
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acceleration, creating an effect very much like way a person's
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weight increases when being accelerated upward in a twentieth
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century elevator. The scientists pointed out, that powered
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flight at one-Earth-gravity acceleration, made possible new
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kinds of trajectory-paths between Mars and Earth, and reduced
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the travel time enormously.
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Some pointed out that this might be possible with ion-
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engines powered by fission reactors. It was agreed that
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thermonuclear fusion would be far superior in several ways. They
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explained that fusion energy was the form of energy production
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which would be needed on Mars. The problem they tackled was
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convincing the politicians that the needed development of fusion
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energy had to be completed before the Mars trips began.
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It was decided, that the beginning, that the main part of
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solving the problem of lifting weight into geostationery Earth
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orbit from Earth's surface, would be industrializing the Moon.
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Provided fusion power could be established on the Moon, they
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guessed that more than ninety percent of the total weight of
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large space-vessels, could be produced on the Moon, and lifted
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into Moon orbit at a small fraction of the cost of producing
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these materials on Earth. The same thing would apply to most of
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the materials set to Mars to construct the first stages of a
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permanent colony. Space-vessels to Mars, could be assembled in
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either Moon orbit or Earth orbit, and launched from either
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place.
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Still, a lot of people and weight must be lifted from
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Earth. The scientists decided, that using a rocket to get
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beyond the Earth's atmosphere is like designing an aircraft to
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fly under water. The idea of using a transatmospheric aircraft
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to get above the atmosphere, had been under discussion for
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decades, and preliminary designs were fairly well advanced
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during the course of the 1980s. It was decided to push the
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development of transatmospheric craft, to build up a network of
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low-orbiting space-terminals. This would provide the cheapest
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possible way of moving large numbers of people, and large
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amounts of freight, up beyond the atmosphere. It would also be
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the cheapest and safest way to bring people down from orbit to
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airports on the Earth.
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By that time, there were already designs for what were then
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called "space ferries." These "space ferries" would carry
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people and materials over the distance from the low-orbitting
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terminals, to the locations of the main space-terminals, in
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Earth's geostationery orbit. These geostationery terminals
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became the locations at which technicians assembled the craft
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used for regular travel between Earth and Moon.
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So, on August **, 2000, the first routine travel between
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Earth and the Moon was begun. Some of the astronauts grumbled,
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complaining that they had become high-paid airline pilots. It
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was pretty much routine. It was policy, that the pilot made
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only a few round-trips between the Moon and Earth-orbit, before
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being sent back to Earth for rest and rehabilitation, although
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the main Earth space-terminals already had a one-Earth-gravity
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artificial environment at that time. After a few trips, the
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space-pilots would board a regular bus-run of the space ferry at
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the space-station, get off at a low-orbitting terminal, and
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catch the next transatmospheric flight back to Earth.
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Few people living in 2036 remember this obscure event, but
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back in 1986, the United States sent two pilots to prove that an
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propeller aircraft could make a non-stop trip around the world.
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Most scientists thought the trip was a silly way to waste money
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for no useful purpose. The only reason one would mention that
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obscure flight in 2036, would be to show the kinds of problems
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the scientists faced in explaining space-colonization to the
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politicians and voters.
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Imagine a propeller aircraft, the combined weight of whose
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engines, fuselage, and pilots are nearly zero. In other words,
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how far can a pound of gasoline fly itself, given the
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efficiencies of propeller aircraft? So, this obscure flight
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was designed, making the weights of engines, fuselage, and
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pilots, as small a percentile of the weight of the plane's
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maximum fuel load as possible. What did the flight prove?
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Nothing that a qualified aeronautics engineer could not have
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proven with an electronic hand calculator.
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The problem, back in 1989, was to explain to the
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politicians and public how this same problem, of total weight to
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fuel weight, limited the possibilities for getting into space,
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and affected the costs of getting a pound of weight into space.
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As everyone knows today, the further a vessel moves from a
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planet's strongest gravitational pull, the less fuel it costs to
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accelerate a pound of weight.
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||
|
||
The politicians got the point. The system of getting into
|
||
space, from the Earth's surface to the geostationary space
|
||
terminal, and to the Moon's orbit, was a kind of pyramid. The
|
||
distance from Earth's geostationary terminal to Moon-orbit, was
|
||
the tip of the pyramid. The transatmosopheric system, between
|
||
the Earth's surface and the low-orbitting terminals, was the
|
||
broadast strip of the pyramid. The space ferries, moving back
|
||
and forth between the low-orbitting terminals and the
|
||
geostationary terminal, were the middle section of the pyramid.
|
||
|
||
One of the biggest obstacles the space program had to
|
||
overcome, was the massive prejudice most of the politicians and
|
||
public had built up against nuclear fission over nearly twenty
|
||
years, between 1970 and the time the project began, in 1989.
|
||
The political factor, of fear of nuclear radiation, was far
|
||
more important than the engineering problems involved in
|
||
using nuclear fission safely as a power-source for aircraft and
|
||
space vehicles. This prejudice was a major engineering
|
||
difficulty, since nuclear fission gives much more power per unit
|
||
of weight than chemical fuels. In all travel, the ratio of
|
||
total weight to weight of the maximum fuel load, is the most
|
||
important of the economic limits to be faced.
|
||
|
||
However, by that time, thermonuclear fusion as a power
|
||
source was nearly a reality. Fusion is vastly more efficient as
|
||
a fuel-user, than nuclear fission. So, nuclear fission was
|
||
the power-source for regular flights between Earth-orbit and Moon
|
||
orbit during those early years after 2000, but its uses for
|
||
other modes of flight was avoided.
|
||
|
||
To get from Earth-Moon to Mars, required us to develop
|
||
another pyramid, with the base of the pyramid running from
|
||
Earth's geostationary orbit to the Moon's production, the
|
||
tip of the pyramid reaching Mars surface, and the distance
|
||
between the base-line and Mars-orbit the lower portion of the
|
||
pyramid's volume.
|
||
|
||
A third pyramid was designed. The base of this pyramid was
|
||
on Mars' surface. Just as on Earth, we must move passengers
|
||
and some freight from Mars' surface into Mars orbits. From
|
||
there, in Mars orbit, the pyramid branches in two directions.
|
||
One direction leads back to Earth orbit. The other direction
|
||
was powered travel, as from Earth orbit to Moon orbit, to and
|
||
from the radiotelescopes and space laboratories constructed in
|
||
the general vicinity of Mars.
|
||
|
||
Those three pyramids became the fundamental design of the
|
||
system of transportation as a whole.
|
||
|
||
Once the first of the two pyramids had been designed, the
|
||
key bottleneck next to be mastered, was production on the Moon.
|
||
|
||
Quite clearly, the scientists could not think of building a
|
||
nineteenth-century-style metals industry on the Moon. The
|
||
combustion of oxygen, which had been the basis for metal-working
|
||
on Earth deep into the Twentieth Century, was not a workable
|
||
proposition on the Moon, even if a combustible fuel could be
|
||
found. Only three sources of industrial energy could be found.
|
||
Electricity could be generated in various ways, or nuclear
|
||
fission or thermonuclear fusion could be used. Some hoped
|
||
that a fusionable isotope of helium could be mined on the Moon.
|
||
|
||
Krafft Ehricke had worked out a nuclear-fission economy for
|
||
the Moon, but it was realized that a thermonuclear-fusion
|
||
economy would be far better. For the rest, the standard
|
||
handbooks of physics and chemistry already existing in the 1980s
|
||
were most helpful.
|
||
|
||
The policy decided upon was this. As every school-child
|
||
knows his ABCs in 2036, production of inorganic materials is a
|
||
matter of what most back in the 1980s still referred to as the
|
||
available temperatures of production processes. If the highest
|
||
industrial temperatures then in general use, could be increased
|
||
by an absolute factor of slightly less than ten times existing
|
||
modes, there was no material in the solar system which can not
|
||
be reduced to a plasma form under such conditions. Back in the
|
||
1980s, we had only two ways in sight for doing this effeciently,
|
||
thermonuclear fusion and coherent electromagnetic pulses of high
|
||
frequency, and very high energy-density cross-section of impact
|
||
upon targetted materials.
|
||
|
||
The problem which the project's leaders faced then, was
|
||
that if we reduce material to its plasma state, how do we handle
|
||
it. The answer is familiar to every school-child in 2036, but
|
||
it was a major problem for the scientists back in 1989. The key
|
||
to the solution was obviously lessons learned in experimental
|
||
efforts to develop thermonuclear fusion as a source of power.
|
||
|
||
If was clear from the beginning of the project, that if the
|
||
schedules set for Mars colonization were to be realized, it was
|
||
indispensable to accelerate thermonuclear-fusion development and
|
||
development of techniques associated with high-frequency lasers
|
||
and particle beams. The development of the gamma-ray laser was
|
||
given much higher priority through these decisions. The
|
||
decision was made, to achieve what were called then "second
|
||
generation" thermonuclear fusion technologies by the middle of
|
||
the Twenty First Century's first decade, and to put accelerated
|
||
efforts behind mastery of techniques for production of materials
|
||
using electromagnetically confined plasmas.
|
||
|
||
The fact that we were obliged to force the development of
|
||
advanced technologies then on the horizon, in order that we
|
||
might solve the materials-production problems we faced on the
|
||
Moon, greatly accelerated our civilization's development of
|
||
newer types of ceramics. We did not have the development of
|
||
ceramic materials of anomalous crystalline structures on the list
|
||
of project requirements at the start, but once we recognized the
|
||
advantages of materials so novel to us at that time, we added
|
||
the forced development of these technologies to our project.
|
||
|
||
In the same way, we were forced to develop the early
|
||
varieties of laser machine-tools in general use in 2036, to be
|
||
able to machine these new materials. Our project brought the
|
||
techniques of electromagnetic isotope separation up to a level of
|
||
refinement still considered modern today.
|
||
|
||
It was the success of these breakthroughs in fusion, lasers,
|
||
and very-high energy-dense production processes, which made the
|
||
industrialization of the Moon such a brilliant success. It was
|
||
by perfecting these methods and processes for the
|
||
industrialization of the Moon that we solved in advance the major
|
||
problems we would have otherwise faced during the initial
|
||
colonization of Mars. The building-up of the Moon's
|
||
industrialization was the major factor forcing us to delay the
|
||
beginning of Mars colonization until 2027. Had we not developed
|
||
the technologies needed for industrialization of the Moon, as we
|
||
did, the colonization of Mars would have been delayed by a
|
||
decade or more.
|
||
|
||
Some of the 1985-1986 plans included a heavy emphasis on new
|
||
directions in biology, but without the desperate fight Earth had
|
||
to mobilize against the AIDS pandemic, it is doubtful that many
|
||
supporters of our Mars colonization project would have been won
|
||
over to supporting this line of research to the degree which
|
||
later proved necessary, once the Mars colonization had begun.
|
||
So, today, we are able to incorporate the benefits of this
|
||
research into designs of systems for manned deep-space
|
||
explorations. and have overcome most of the fears of possible
|
||
strange diseases which might be encountered, or might develop,
|
||
in our further explorations and colonizations of space.
|
||
|
||
It was not until the late 1990s, that the last significant
|
||
political opposition to the costliness of the Mars-colonization
|
||
project was overcome.
|
||
|
||
We began the project in 1989, under what might seem to have
|
||
been the worst economic conditions for such an undertaking.
|
||
Over the preceding twenty-five years, most of the world had been
|
||
caught in a long process of economic decline, which we described
|
||
then as a drift into a "post-industrial society." In many of
|
||
the then-industrialized nations, the average income of
|
||
households had fallen to about 70% of the real purchasing power
|
||
of 1966 and 1967. Entire industries which had existed during
|
||
the 1960s, had either been wiped out or nearly so, in many of
|
||
these nations. The basic economic infrastructure, such things
|
||
as water-management and sanitation systems, general
|
||
transportation of freight, energy systems, and educational and
|
||
health-care systems, were in a state of advanced decay. To
|
||
cover over the collapse of incomes, a massive spiral of
|
||
borrowing had occurred in all sectors of government, production,
|
||
and households; a terrible financial crisis had built up.
|
||
|
||
Those who pushed the Mars colonization project the most,
|
||
including the President of the United States, did not view the
|
||
project as a way of spending a large surplus of wealth. It was
|
||
seen by them as a way of helping to revive a decaying economy,
|
||
and also a way of showing all mankind that our species has
|
||
meaningful opportunities for present and future generations,
|
||
opportunities as limitless as the universe itself.
|
||
|
||
At first, many grumbled political objections against the
|
||
large sums of money spent. As the citizens saw new industries
|
||
and employment opportunities opening up as a result of the Mars
|
||
project, the political support for the project grew. Over the
|
||
course of the first ten years, the project grew in importance as
|
||
a technological stimulant to the growth of economies. Then,
|
||
the first decade of the Twenty-First Century, there were waves of
|
||
revolutionary improvements in methods of production; many of
|
||
these benefits were the direct result of using the new space
|
||
technologies in everyday production back on Earth. The
|
||
political opposition to the project's cost vanished.
|
||
|
||
One of the first of the developing nations to join Japan,
|
||
the U.S., and western Europe, in the project, was India. The
|
||
next were Argentina and Brazil. The project's leaders and
|
||
sponsors showed wisdom in encouraging participation in their own
|
||
programs by young scientists from many nations. The fact that
|
||
we may be so confident that general war has disappeared from
|
||
Earth in 2036, can be credited to the Mars colonization project
|
||
to a large degree. The rate of technological advancement and
|
||
increase of wealth in the nations which undertook the project
|
||
from the start, has been such that no potential adversary would
|
||
think of attacking them.
|
||
|
||
As it became clearer to everyone that there were going to be
|
||
large permanent colonies in Mars during the middle of the Twenty-
|
||
First Century, the general idea of developing the worst deserts
|
||
of Earth worked its way into policies of governments. Africa,
|
||
whose population-level collapsed by more than 100 millions during
|
||
the course of the AIDS pandemic, is growing again, and only the
|
||
Sahel region, but large stretches of the Sahara are blooming
|
||
areas with new, modern cities.
|
||
|
||
No one talks of over-population any more. The idea off
|
||
transforming the Earth-sized moon of Saturn, Titan, into a new
|
||
colony, beginning forty to fifty years from now, is already
|
||
more popular than the colonization of Nars was, back during the
|
||
late 1980s. Titan's atmosphere is poisonous, but we can
|
||
forsee ourselves gaining the kinds of technologies needed to
|
||
Earth-form a planetary body of that sort. The strongest voice
|
||
for this is coming from the Mars colonists, who now say that
|
||
they find everything delightful on Mars but its uncomfortably low
|
||
gravity. There is also big pressure for such new major space-
|
||
projects from circles tied closely to the Moon industrialization
|
||
program; they say that Moon industries are ripe for a major new
|
||
challenge.
|
||
|
||
The Mars colony will be almost self-sustaining within
|
||
another ten years. No one on Earth worries any more about
|
||
Earth's continued subsidy of the colony; who doubts today, that
|
||
the economic benefits area already vastly greater than the
|
||
amounts we have spent. There are now over two hundred space-craft
|
||
travelling back and forth between the orbits of Earth and Mars,
|
||
and with each journey, more going to Mars, than returning. We
|
||
expect the population to reach over a million within a few
|
||
years. We wonder if more than a handful living back in the
|
||
late 1980s dreamed how much their decisions would change not only
|
||
the world, but the solar system, for the better, within two
|
||
generations.
|
||
|
||
30-30-30
|
||
|