188 lines
12 KiB
Plaintext
188 lines
12 KiB
Plaintext
Telephone Service That Rings of the Future
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By Joshua Quittner. STAFF WRITER Newsday
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(Copyright 1992 by Newsday,Inc. Reprinted and posted by permission)
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TO JOHN PERRY BARLOW, a point man for the computer culture, it's
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the next step in the "Great Work. The physical wiring of collective
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human consciousness--the idea of connecting every mind to every other
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mind in fullduplex broadband."
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To Ohio Bell, it's a way for customers to have up to nine
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telephone numbers--some for specific friends, some for the bill
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collectors--for the price of one.
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This technological Rorschach test is called Integrated Services
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Digital Network. And not since the invention of television have so many
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people looked at one thing and interpreted it in so many different ways.
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Technically, ISDN refers to an architecture--the software,
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hardware and protocols needed to deliver a mix of voice, video and data
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over a digital telephone network. This is important because it is a way
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of squeezing every bit of capacity out of the twisted pair of copper
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wires that the local telephone company runs into your house, bringing
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the kind of services that are usually associated with more expensive
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fiber optic cables.
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When Barbara Bush videoconferenced from the White House with
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children at a Baltimore hospital at Christmas, she was using an ISDN
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connection. When a group of Lawrence Livermore Laboratory scientists
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work at home, ISDN enables them to use their personal computers, without
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a modem, to tap into the lab network and get a data connection 27 times
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faster than normal. The Rochester Telephone Co. and AT&T recently
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completed an ISDN experiment in which phone company employees used ISDN
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to telecommute from their homes.
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With the lifting of restrictions that barred local telephone
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companies from providing information services, the Baby Bells are
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looking for ways of getting into the information business. Fiber optic
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cable, the hair-thin strands of glass that convey signals at the speed
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of light, is considered the ultimate way to transmit information
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services, both for its speed and high capacity. But the cost of
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deploying fiber has stalled it at curbside; telephone companies estimate
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it will cost hundreds of billions of dollars to extend it into homes.
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By using the existing copper wires that connect homes to lo
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cal telephone companies, ISDN could be a far cheaper, more quickly
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available alternative, a "ramping up technology," to fiber, said Barlow.
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With software developer Mitchell Kapor, who is famous for the business
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spreadsheet program Lotus 1-2-3, Barlow founded the Cambridge, Mass.-
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based Electronic Frontier Foundation, a public interest group dedicated
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to defining and promoting the rights of computer users. The organization
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is lobbying for ISDN as the medium for an easy-to-access, national
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public network of computer users.
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Will ISDN stay where it is, mostly with businesses, or will it make
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the connection to people's homes? The answer depends on whom you ask.
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"I think we're at a critical period in the deployment of ISDN
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because up until now, it has not been possible to make an ISDN telephone
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call from the service area of one phone company to another," said Marvin
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Sirbu, a telecommunications expert and professor at Carnegie Mellon
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University in Pittsburgh. Sirbu said that ISDN gained momentum recently
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with industrywide agreements that created standards for equipment makers
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and service providers to interconnect nationally. That should occur by
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the end of 1992. It means that the 300 or so isolated ISDN islands will
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be able to talk to each other and the technology is almost certain to
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proliferate, at least between businesses, he said.
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BUT SIRBU discounted the EFF's notion of a public national network
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based on ISDN and said it was wrong to expect the telephone companies to
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deploy it for information services.
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"I have followed the trials and tribulations of home information
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services for more than 10 years," he said. "Everybody keeps saying when
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the technology gets cheaper it will be a big success or when the
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technology gets better it will be a big success. But I haven't seen any
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applications that would make this a big success in the home. The issues
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here are marketing issues and finding out what the right product is that
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someone wants at home."
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Commercial interest in ISDN seemed to peak in 1986, when
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McDonald's Corp. was the first business to try it out. (Two executives,
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two miles apart, spoke on the phone while looking at video images of
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each other and while transmitting a graphic of the Golden Arches onto
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their computer screens.) Though the technology spread to the rest of
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corporate and high-tech America, it did so slowly; uses were pretty much
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limited to a kind of advanced Caller ID option.
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For instance, if you call your credit card company's 800 number
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from home, chances are your name and records will pop up automatically--
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before you even identify yourself--on the computer screen of the
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customer service rep as he takes your call. With ISDN, a company can
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also tell if you called, were put on hold and hung up without ever
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speaking to a person; if they want to, they can call you back. It also
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allows them to note in their database that you speak only Spanish and
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automatically route you to a bilingual operator.
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The anticipated--and current uses--for ISDN run from the poetic
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to the prosaic.
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On the poetic end of the spectrum is the Electronic Frontier, which
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is pushing ISDN as the ideal platform for what has beendubbed the
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National Public Network. Barlow said that that network would carry, in
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addition to normal telephone calls, multimedia electronic mail, in which
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users could send a mixture of voice and video; personal faxes, software,
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games "and other media not yet imagined." The network, in his view,
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would be the ultimate expression of "global free speech," giving all
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users an unprecedented chance to interact.
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"We believe that ISDN, whatever its limitations, is rapid enough to
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jump start the greatest free market the world has ever known," said
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Barlow.
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ISDN can deliver data 27 times faster than a 2400-baud modem, the
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telephone-computer interface that most PC users use. It does this
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digitally, by creating two 64-kilobit-a-second channels that can be used
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for voice or data, and one 16-kilobit-a-second channel, on your phone
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line. With developing data-
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compression techniques, users could get a combination of voice,
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pictures, music and video. "Multimedia postcards," as Kapor put it.
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"Today, it's the case that you can do very high-quality picture phones
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over ISDN at very, very good quality," he said. "Compression techniques
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are continuing to evolve so it's reasonable to expect that we will have
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VHS-level quality" over copper wires.
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But, while more than 60 percent of the country will be ISDNready
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within two years, Kapor, Barlow and others worry that the telephone
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companies will do little with it for residential users, aside from
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offering their business customers--where most of the money is for phone
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companies--some ISDN services.
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"Telco mindset was developed in an era of highly centralized
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networks in which it took a decade of court battles to give you the
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right to attach a suction cup to your telephone," said Kapor. "Computer
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industry mindset, especially PCs, was born in garages and attics where
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teenagers, kids, and outsiders invented the Apple II and Lotus 1-2-3."
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So Kapor and the EFF has been trying to line up the support of computer
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and software manufacturers, among others, to lobby in Congress and among
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the public utility commissions state by state, for a more directed and
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speedy deployment of ISDN.
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Currently, there are some 300 ISDN "islands," each centered around
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discrete ISDN-equipped phone switches. No one knows exactly how many
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there are, nor how many users they serve, though the vast majority are
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dedicated telephone lines that run from telephone company switches to
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specific businesses.
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Though users within each island can interact using ISDN, they can
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not interact between islands because the companies that manufacture ISDN
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switches used different standards, and because there was no standard
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interface between the ISDN that a local telephone company uses, and the
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ISDN that a long-distance carrier uses.
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However, standards by Bellcore, the research arm of the Baby Bells,
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should bring all the switches into conformity by the fall of 1992.
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Stan Kluz, an ISDN expert at Lawrence Livermore, recently hooked
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the first group of ISDN users off site, into the laboratory's computer
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network. Kluz said that through this arrangement, 12 scientists who live
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near the University of California at Berkeley can use their computers at
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home, and have access to data at 64 kilobits a second.
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With speeds that fast, the scientists can manipulate huge amounts
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of data and see their problems displayed in three dimensional graphics
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on their home computers.
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Kluz sees the future of telecommunications and it is ISDN. He says
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that videoconferencing on all ISDN-equipped computers at Lawrence
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Livermore will be available soon; with nationwide interconnection
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agreements, he hopes to see "distance learning" in which a class in,
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say, nuclear physics, could be videoconferenced at the Massachusetts
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Institute of Technology to the computer of a Lawrence Livermore
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scientist, who can take part in the class.
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But Kluz, who also serves as president of the California ISDN Users
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Group, echoed Kapor and said that the phone companies aren't moving fast
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enough to create demand for the service. "They're not marketing it
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well," he said.
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NYNEX spokesman Joe Gagen--as well as virtually everyone else
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interviewed for this story--said residential ISDN is a classic chicken
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and egg problem. In order for people to want it, there have to be
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services. But information service providers won't proliferate until
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there's a demand. Gagen said that residential demand will grow as people
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become exposed to ISDN at work.
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"It's not going to happen overnight," said Colin Beasley, staff
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director of network planning at NYNEX. "My guess is that from an
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affordability and deployment point of view, you're probably talking
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about 1994-1995 before you'll see broad penetration into the [New York]
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residence market."
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****
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Telephone Service That Rings of the Future ISDN has already
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penetrated New Albany, Ohio, where 16 ISDNaccessible homes have been
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built. The country-club-style development (median house price, $700,000)
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surrounds a Jack Nicklausdesigned golf course and, its developers say,
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is the first commercial application of residential ISDN.
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Neil Toeppe of Ohio Bell Telephone Co. said homeowners have the
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option of giving out up to nine telephone numbers from an existing
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telephone line, each with a different function. For instance, the number
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listed in a phone book could be programmed to run into an answering
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machine; a second line can be given out to friends, and ring only on
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telephones in designated rooms; a third number could be for the
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children's phone and it could divert to voice mail after 7:30 p.m.
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Within a year or so, residents will be able to have the local
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utility company monitor their thermostats, using the 16 kilobit data
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channel. That will let homeowners subscribe to a kind of power sharing
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agreement under which the power company will virtually control the
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thermostat in exchange for discounted rates. Other features will also be
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available--as soon as someone figures out what they are.
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****
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--
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josh quittner
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voice: 1.800.544.5410 (2806 at tone)
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quit@newsday.com
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