147 lines
7.6 KiB
Plaintext
147 lines
7.6 KiB
Plaintext
Testimony Summary for "Networks of the Future"
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FCC Hearing
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Mitchell Kapor, Electronic Frontier Foundation
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May 1, 1991
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By the end of the next decade, today's computer networks and telephone
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systems will evolve into a web of digital links connecting nearly all homes
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and businesses in the U.S. This "National Public Network" will support
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commerce, learning, education, and entertainment in our society.
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At its best, this National Public Network could be the source of immense
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social benefits. As a means of increasing cohesiveness, while retaining
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the diversity that is an American strength, the network could help
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revitalize this country's business and culture.
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To design the NPN we must nurture a diverse community of participants, who
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together will evolve the National Public Network to its fullest potential.
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The Commission is to be congratulated for seeking a diversity of counsel by
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undertaking such programs as today's "Networks of the Future". I am
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pleased to appear before the Commission today as an entrepreneur, software
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designer, and concerned citizen.
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I want to share my vision of the applications which will drive demand for
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services on the National Public Network. Applications are so important
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because users are interested in doing something new with technology in
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order to make a difference in their lives. They have an aversion to
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technology itself. We should therefore give as much attention to
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applications as we do to the construction of the underlying network.
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Key Applications
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We don't know and probably can't know the key applications of the NPN. The
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users and entrepreneurs of the network will surprise us, in the same way
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that the electronic spreadsheet came as a complete surprise. Just as the
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Apple II personal computer was a platform that allowed others to invent new
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applications, the NPN can be a platform for information entrepreneurship.
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While we can't predict which applications will open up huge new markets, we
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can make a few educated guesses, based on today's prototypes. These
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include the Internet, a decentralized, anarchic web of computers and
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electronic mailboxes, linking major universities and industrial research
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labs around the world. Other "Petri dishes" of social ferment include
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smaller, regional computer conferencing systems like the Whole Earth
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'Lectronic Link (the WELL) and a turbulent mass of tens of thousands
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non-commercial computer bulletin board systems linked in the Fidonet
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network.
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Messaging will be popular: time and time again, from the ARPAnet to
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Prodigy, people have surprised network planners with their eagerness to
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exchange mail. "Mail" will not just mean voice and text, but also pictures
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and video -- no doubt with many new variations.
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We know from past demand that the network will be used for electronic
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assembly -- virtual town halls, village greens, and coffee houses, again
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taking place not just through shared text (as in today's computer
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networks), but with multi-media transmissions, including images, voice, and
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video. Unlike the telephone, this network will also be a publications
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medium, distributing electronic newsletters, video clips and interpreted
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reports. It will also be an information marketplace which will include
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electronic invoicing, billing, listing, brokering, advertising,
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comparison-shopping, and matchmaking of various kinds.
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Innovation Enablers
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I believe it is possible to identify several key innovation enablers which,
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if applied in the context of the NPN, will result in a more rapid emergence
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of high-demand applications. These factors strongly imply directions for
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national policy and business strategy which are mentioned under each point.
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1. Design the NPN as an Applications Platform
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The most valuable contribution of the computer industry in the past ten
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years is not a machine, but an idea -- the principle of open architecture.
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In computing, the hardware and system software companies create a
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"platform" whose specifications are published openly and which seeks to
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attract independent third parties to develop applications for it.
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Similarly, we need to think how to make the NPN into an attractive platform
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for the development of new information products and services.
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The most useful role of Apple's famous "software evangelists" is not
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selling the virtues of the Macintosh to application developers, but
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listening to them to help Apple improve the design of its platform.
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Perhaps the RBOC's need evangelists too.
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It isn't possible for the platform vendor to identify an appropriate set of
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application developers, but a well-designed commercial platform will
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naturally attract developers.
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The platform must be designed to be appealing to the application
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developers. It cannot be thought up in isolation and foisted onto the
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market in the hope that it will be found interesting.
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A computer platform is more than the hardware. The NPN platform will be
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far more than the wires. It must include a basket of basic services for
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directories and billing that are accessible and available to all providers.
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2. Understand and Capitalize on Market-mediated Innovation.
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In the early stages of development of an industry, low barriers to entry
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stimulate competition. They enable a very large initial set of products
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for consumers to choose from. Out of these the market will learn to ignore
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almost all in order to standardize on a few, such as a Lotus 1-2-3. The
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winners will be widely emulated in the next generation of products, which
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will in turn generate a more refined form of marketplace feedback. In this
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fashion, early chaos evolves quickly a set of high-demand products and
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product categories.
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This process of market-mediated innovation is best catalyzed by creating an
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environment in which it is inexpensive and easy for entrepreneurs to
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develop products. The greater the number of independent enterprises, each
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of which puts at voluntary risk the intellectual and economic capital of
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risk-takers, is the best way to find out what the market really wants. The
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businesses which succeed in this are the ones which will prosper.
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It is worthwhile to note that not a single major PC software company today
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dates from the mainframe era. Yesterday's garage shop is today's
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billion-dollar enterprise. Policies for the NPN should therefore not only
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accommodate existing information industry interests, but anticipate and
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promote the next generate of entrepreneurs.
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There should be thousands of information proprietors on the net, just as
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there are thousands of producers of personal computer software and
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thousands of publishers of books and magazines. It should be as easy to
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provide an information service as to order a business telephone. Just as
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every business is automatically listed in the Yellow Pages, every online
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provider should be listed in a national digital Yellow Pages.
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3. Design the NPN for Transparency and Ease of Use
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"Transparency," in computer circles, is a subjective state of awareness --
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and a desirable one. When a program is perfectly transparent, people
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forget about the fact that they are using a computer. The most successful
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computer programs are nearly always transparent: a spreadsheet, for
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instance, is as self-evident as a ledger page.
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Personal computer communications, by contrast, are practically opaque.
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Users must be aware of baud rates, parity, duplex, and file transfer
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protocols -- all of which a reasonably well-designed network could handle
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for them. When newcomers find themselves confronting what John Perry
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Barlow calls a "savage user interface" the excitement about being part of
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an extended community quickly vanishes. On a National Public Network, that
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would be a disaster.
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Therefore it is crucial the NPN platform be designed with the proper basic
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functions and capabilities to promote ease of use.
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