634 lines
34 KiB
Groff
634 lines
34 KiB
Groff
Population #1
|
|
Bricks Carved From the Chaos
|
|
by Mike Merrill
|
|
|
|
1.
|
|
Why do things go bad?
|
|
There is insanity everywhere..
|
|
There must be a reason for all the decay. I see crime go up, incomes go
|
|
down, neighbors get meaner, wars get more vicious, competition between world
|
|
aggressors to create the most shocking atrocity. No one feels they are taken
|
|
seriously. Pollution gets worse, even when we try to love our planet and
|
|
recycle and shop conscientiously. Water becomes more scarce. Natural
|
|
disasters seem more and more frequent. It costs more to own a home than it
|
|
used to, and the home I can afford gets smaller and smaller. And there are
|
|
more and more problems impossible to list.
|
|
Why?
|
|
I'll tell you.
|
|
It's because there are too many people.
|
|
|
|
2.
|
|
All our dreams of tomorrow: of peace, of unity, of living in the light of
|
|
love, of technology eliminating work, of leisure spent in the arms of nature --
|
|
all our dreams will be nothing unless we embrace this truth.
|
|
|
|
3.
|
|
Many among us feel they sense the coming end of the world. They see the
|
|
gathering destruction: billions of people starving, topsoil erosion,
|
|
deforestation in the tropics, pollution making people sick, nuclear weapons in
|
|
many nations' hands. Who has enough perspective to say they are wrong?
|
|
|
|
4.
|
|
We don't think about the ones who haven't been born yet. The moment here
|
|
and now demands all our attention. Living pulls so much from us that we don't
|
|
have energy to think about more than what's right here. But time passes
|
|
anyway. And just as sure as we feel sexy on Saturday night, and just as sure
|
|
as those DNA molecules untwist and rewind, there will be another generation,
|
|
also with Saturday nights and untwisting DNA. And so on.
|
|
Just because they're not here doesn't mean they don't exist. Historians
|
|
and philosophers talk about the past as alive in the present. We live with the
|
|
consequences of our past actions and the actions of others who have lived
|
|
before us. We speak the language formed directly from the thoughts of the
|
|
past, so our thoughts are in a sense repetitions of those gone by. In the same
|
|
way, the generation in 20 generations will live with our thoughts and actions.
|
|
Our thoughts and actions are literally the future.
|
|
Now, I am filled with sorrow for that coming generation. War for Americans
|
|
is a fun little adrenalin kick. Genocide is overlooked by the free world's
|
|
leaders, unless there's an economic incentive to say no. Governments get away
|
|
with whatever they can. Psychological depression is endemic. Laws are a game
|
|
to play with. There are traces of human waste in every corner of the world's
|
|
oceans. Many people think God is dead.
|
|
No news here, I just thought I'd summarize before going on.
|
|
|
|
5.
|
|
I have come to see that almost all our problems, all the evils in the
|
|
world, arise from, or at least are greatly exaggerated by, this one little
|
|
problem: overpopulation.
|
|
|
|
6.
|
|
Some caveats:
|
|
I cannot prove the things I say here. They can't be addressed adequately
|
|
using the current set of concepts. And I cannot invent a science. The need is
|
|
now, this year, this day, and a new science takes decades to unwind in history.
|
|
I cannot defend myself against the hands of those humans whose religions
|
|
and moral convictions compel them to oppose these words. Of you, opponent, I
|
|
ask forgiveness. Please consider that my moral conscience demands compliance,
|
|
just as yours does.
|
|
Do not think that I am a Nazi. I don't care if my race (white Europeans in
|
|
America) eventually loses its separate identity through racial intermarriage.
|
|
In fact, my hope for the future of America in part relies on the prospect of
|
|
that happening.
|
|
Finally, it is impossible for me to attain expertise in all the sciences
|
|
and other areas of study I touch on in this document. I am a generalist. And
|
|
so, to the experts: please correct me. My address is listed at the end of the
|
|
document.
|
|
Take all this or leave it; it's all the same. But listen to me for a
|
|
moment, and ask yourself whether these words don't speak to something in you.
|
|
|
|
7.
|
|
An interesting example of social breakdown in a crowded population of
|
|
experimental animals was created by John Calhoun at the National Institutes of
|
|
health in the late 1960's and early 1970's.[1] Calhoun created a "Utopian
|
|
environment" for mice to study the effect of exponential population growth on
|
|
social behavior.
|
|
The mouse environment was a 101-inch-square pen with 54-inch-high walls,
|
|
constructed with nesting boxes on the walls to maximize breeding space. The
|
|
floor of the environment was covered with ground corn cob, and paper strips
|
|
were providing as nesting material. Calhoun provided adequate food and water
|
|
in regularly spaced hoppers. The room temperature was relatively stable during
|
|
the years of the experiment.
|
|
Calhoun put four male and four female laboratory mice into this space on
|
|
July 9, 1968. The first 104 days, which Calhoun called "Phase A," were
|
|
characterized by social turmoil as the mice adjusted to their new environment.
|
|
The first litter was born at 104 days, and the population began to expand
|
|
exponentially, doubling every 55 days. This was "Phase B." At day 315, with a
|
|
population of 620 weaned mice, the population growth abruptly slowed to a
|
|
doubling time of 145 days; this was "Phase C."
|
|
At this time, the social structure began to deteriorate and violence levels
|
|
increased.
|
|
|
|
... there was no room for emigration. As the unusually large number of young
|
|
gained adulthood, they had to remain, and they (contested) for roles in the
|
|
filled social system. Males who failed withdrew physically and
|
|
psychologically; they became very inactive and aggregated in large pools near
|
|
the centre of the floor of the universe. From this point on they no longer
|
|
initiated interaction with their established associates, nor did their behavior
|
|
elicit attack by territorial males. Even so, they became characterized by many
|
|
wounds and much scar tissue as a result of attacks by other withdrawn males....
|
|
Female counterparts of these withdrawn males tended to withdraw to higher level
|
|
boxes that were less preferred by females with litters. Such females were not
|
|
characterized by the violent aggression of the withdrawn males.
|
|
|
|
Mouse fertility decreased, baby mice were abandoned, fetuses spontaneously
|
|
aborted, and maternal behavior disappeared. The dominant male mice could no
|
|
longer defend all their territory from the masses of males, and began less and
|
|
less to defend the nesting sites they were associated with. Thus, the nesting
|
|
sites became exposed to "invasion," and in response, the nesting females became
|
|
aggressive, taking over the role of the dominant males. The aggression carried
|
|
over to their offspring: the mothers attacked their young, wounded them and
|
|
forced them to leave the nest early. All social interactions between the mice
|
|
were of short duration and superficial, and no real courtship or parenting
|
|
behavior could develop.
|
|
The population peaked at 2,200 mice on day 560. No baby mice survived
|
|
infancy after day 600, and the population began a decline. The last conception
|
|
was about day 920. An attention toward the end to add some healthy mice failed
|
|
to rejuvenate the population. Calhoun reported that on June 22, 1972, there
|
|
were only 122 survivors.
|
|
|
|
8.
|
|
The Kapapuya tribes of Native Americas formerly lived in Oregon; they are
|
|
now nearly extinct. Here is one of their prophecies:
|
|
|
|
In ancient times
|
|
a Kalapuya lay
|
|
in a grove of alder trees
|
|
near the forking of the Santiam
|
|
and dreamt a most unusual dream.
|
|
|
|
When he awoke at night
|
|
he told the people:
|
|
"The earth beneath our feet
|
|
was completely black,
|
|
in my dream."
|
|
|
|
No one was able to say
|
|
what that signified,
|
|
that dream of our green earth --
|
|
so we forgot it.
|
|
|
|
But then the Whites came
|
|
those farmers hard as iron,
|
|
and we saw how they tore open the earth with the plough
|
|
the pastures
|
|
the little prairies beside the Santiam.
|
|
|
|
And we knew
|
|
that we were to be a part of their dream
|
|
their dream of an earth
|
|
made black forever
|
|
by the wounding plough.[2]
|
|
|
|
9.
|
|
An Armenian soldier, being bussed towards a battle with Azeri soldiers in
|
|
the south of what used to be the USSR, says, "God has given us the right to
|
|
stand on this land." He kisses a silver cross on a chain around his neck.[3]
|
|
|
|
10.
|
|
Every year a good chunk of southern California burns. And every year
|
|
recently there have been disasters when these fires sweep over residential
|
|
areas. Why does this happen?
|
|
Fires are natural in the region. Dry summers follow wet winters every
|
|
year, and plants dry out. Lightning touches off the inevitable.
|
|
People choose to live there. They like warmth; they don't like Idaho and
|
|
Montana and Illinois as much for that reason. And those people whose houses
|
|
regularly burn down were choosing a place to live, there was no affordable warm
|
|
land without those dangers.
|
|
Spaces fill up with people, and eventually people take what they can get.
|
|
|
|
11.
|
|
All the problems that are currently blamed on technology and our "wasteful"
|
|
Western way of living are exacerbated by human crowding. For every additional
|
|
human in America, you need several thousand more kilowatts of power a day. A
|
|
few more pounds of toxic emissions go into the air as the polyester for the
|
|
baby clothes is synthesized and the play pen is built. A few more gallons of
|
|
water a day are polluted by sewage. Eventually another car will be on the
|
|
road, another computer will be in a home, another household will be producing
|
|
solid waste.
|
|
It is probably not a sin to drive a car and make plastic and throw things
|
|
away. It is when these activities are multiplied by 300 million that they
|
|
begin to become a problem.
|
|
|
|
12.
|
|
Technology itself is a human adaptation to address the problems caused by
|
|
overpopulation.
|
|
The word "technology" comes from the ancient Greek technes and logos,
|
|
meaning "craft" and "thought," respectively. Technology is a way of
|
|
intelligently crafting the environment around us into a form we can use.
|
|
We created technology to allow us to dominate the earth so that we Ens can
|
|
prevail over what we see as the chaos of the natural world.
|
|
|
|
13.
|
|
Most homes in the world currently are heated by wood fires. This is the
|
|
way it has been for almost all of human history; fossil fuels and such
|
|
technological innovations as nuclear and solar power are very recent phenomena,
|
|
and currently are limited to relatively industrialized areas.
|
|
Heating one's home with wood, though, carries with it one main limitation:
|
|
one must obtain wood. If there are no trees in the area, one must import the
|
|
wood from somewhere.
|
|
I have no proof, but I submit that it would be difficult to heat all the
|
|
homes in the United States with the wood we have growing here now. And if we
|
|
could, it would soon become a very ugly country.
|
|
We have become dependent on fossil fuels to maintain our high population
|
|
density; we don't need to use any land to grow wood for fuel. And the fossil
|
|
fuel will run out someday.
|
|
What's the answer?
|
|
Inevitably, unless everyone obtains solar and wind power sources, we will
|
|
have to set aside some of the land we currently use for food to grow fuel
|
|
instead. And the best way to do with less food is to have less people.
|
|
|
|
14.
|
|
Fossil fuels allow our cities to exist. How would we live without these
|
|
fuels? They bring our food in. They move us to our jobs. They get us out of
|
|
the insanity of the city when we want to get out.
|
|
|
|
15.
|
|
Many summers I go on vacation with relatives at a lake in Maine. Over the
|
|
past 20 years, the water has become murkier, the air has become dirtier, the
|
|
traffic has become noisier and heavier, the number of canoes passing by the
|
|
back porch daily has increased. All these changes accompanied an increase in
|
|
tourist traffic. It is true it has become a more popular area, but the
|
|
increase in traffic is partially a consequence of increased population. More
|
|
people means more vacation spots needed; some spots closer to cities will
|
|
become crowded and people will travel further, even way up to Mount Desert
|
|
Island, to find less crowded areas.
|
|
People seek these less crowded areas to recover from civilization. That's
|
|
what we all first liked about America: the open spaces, the sense of freedom
|
|
when we are immersed in nature. All of this is disappearing.
|
|
The frontier died quite a while ago. Now, it's pretty tough in many places
|
|
to find a place to be alone.
|
|
I know I am lucky to be able to have these vacations. I'm including this
|
|
description as a read-to-hand example of a population increase affecting
|
|
quality of life.
|
|
|
|
16.
|
|
Fear of violence is a national obsession in America. It crafts our habits,
|
|
our travel routes, our relationships, and our levels of awareness as we go
|
|
through our days. Women walk alone at night only in the safest of
|
|
neighborhoods. Men, every day on the street, measure each other's aggression.
|
|
Anger is almost a sin, not because of the emotional damage it might do, but
|
|
because of what might happen.
|
|
The root cause of violence is aggression, a behavior hardwired into us. In
|
|
other animals, aggression is a mechanism for spacing individuals out across the
|
|
land, for ensuring that each animal has enough territory to survive. This
|
|
mechanism was calibrated within us a long time ago, when our population
|
|
densities were much lower than they are now.
|
|
In the 20th century, high population densities are excessively stimulating
|
|
this mechanism.
|
|
|
|
17.
|
|
According to the Bible, a long time ago God said, "Be fruitful, and
|
|
multiply, and replenish the earth, and subdue it."[4]
|
|
I think we've subdued the earth at this point.
|
|
|
|
18.
|
|
All life seeks to increase its numbers. Living things tend to produce
|
|
large numbers of offspring, a larger number than necessary to keep population
|
|
levels constant. This reproduction is necessary to fight adversity in the
|
|
environment. As Charles Darwin noted in 1859, "There is no exception to the
|
|
rule that every organic being naturally increases at so high-a rate that, if
|
|
not destroyed, the earth would soon be covered by the progeny of a single
|
|
pair."[5]
|
|
Thus, oak trees drop thousands of acorns, and as of 1992, the average human
|
|
female produced 3.3 children during her lifetime.[6] (The number for humans is
|
|
smaller because humans take great care of their young.)
|
|
Given a conflict between the tendency to increase and destructive forces
|
|
such as predation, population levels will fluctuate over time, as one force or
|
|
the other becomes stronger. As a population in a favorable environment
|
|
increases in size, eventually the destructive force will become the limits to
|
|
the amount of food available.
|
|
Territoriality, mediated by aggression, is the mechanism that has evolved
|
|
for taking care of this problem, and organisms ranging from slime molds to
|
|
humans use it.
|
|
The main reason humans have such a problem with violence is that our drive
|
|
to increase our population has acquired powerful tools -- technology and
|
|
medicine -- that have allowed us to propagate far beyond our original
|
|
densities, the densities at which the "set point" for our aggression mechanism
|
|
was established.
|
|
We want territory, but there is less and less of it per human because the
|
|
population increases on a finite amount of land.
|
|
Why else would we dream of cities under the sea and travel to distant
|
|
planets?
|
|
|
|
19.
|
|
There certainly are other causes of violence and war, such as economic
|
|
injustice and extremist ideologies. But these are proximal, apparent causes
|
|
that rest on the fundamental fact that humans have multiplied far beyond their
|
|
original condition, and into a state of imbalance.
|
|
|
|
20.
|
|
In prehistoric times, when we evolved from other primates into our current
|
|
form, population densities were low. Back then, it must have been relatively
|
|
frightening to see a stranger. A stranger might be friendly or hostile, and
|
|
might be honest or dishonest. Then, as now, the possibilities of ways a human
|
|
can behave were limited only by what is conceivable. And there was no
|
|
universal social structure or government to regulate behavior.
|
|
Our genes carry with them the memory of that time. And today, they cry out
|
|
when we see hundreds of strangers a day, bringing fear, and objectification,
|
|
and aggression, and violence.
|
|
Humans were not designed to live in boxes piled up on top of each other, as
|
|
in modern public housing. They were not designed to live in places where one
|
|
can walk for a day and pass the dwelling spaces of one million people. These
|
|
are foreign environments to the human animal.
|
|
|
|
21.
|
|
If all this is so, if the squelching of territoriality by population
|
|
pressure is the root of violence, why has this not been apparent through
|
|
history? The answer lies in the taboo nature of the subject, the extent to
|
|
which most human cultures deny its existence.
|
|
The number of children a family chooses to have is a private decision in
|
|
most cultures. In America, talk of someone else's family size will bring
|
|
discomfort and hostility into the conversation. Fears of genocide float in the
|
|
backs of people's minds.
|
|
It is only today, in the age of broken ideals, of smashed religions and
|
|
philosophies and values, when many old systems of thought are dying, that we
|
|
can begin to address such an issue with clear minds.
|
|
|
|
22.
|
|
To be out at sea is a perennial human longing. We don't belong out there
|
|
biologically; we're land-dwelling bipeds, with no fins and no blowholes. It is
|
|
technology that allows us access to the sea's surface.
|
|
We like it because it gives us space to ourselves. At sea, we can control
|
|
the extent to which we interact with other humans. Our minds can find peace.
|
|
On land, the distance I can travel without encountering another group of
|
|
humans is limited. On land, the number of humans who can break into my sphere
|
|
any moment is almost limitless. The phone rings and I am obliged to pick it
|
|
up; any stranger can talk to me on the street; many acquaintances, who could
|
|
show up at any moment, have legitimate claims on my time.
|
|
At sea, there are limits to what other humans can do. They are far away,
|
|
and there is so much space and air.
|
|
|
|
23.
|
|
In a small town, you can't get away with anything. The people who see you
|
|
every day, who watch you work, who know what you buy at the supermarket --
|
|
these people know your character and see the way you treat others. What goes
|
|
around comes around, and you pay for your sins. If you are selfish and rude,
|
|
you are treated poorly yourself. However, good work and good acts earn you a
|
|
reputation, and bring you back respect and joy.
|
|
In cities, however, you can get away with things. The people who see you
|
|
being rude to a clerk, cutting someone off in traffic, and slipping into the
|
|
pornography store will never see you again, so you don't have to worry about
|
|
reaping the consequences of your actions. You can do what you want inside the
|
|
cloak of anonymity.
|
|
In this way, cities become magnifiers of our own lack of self-discipline.
|
|
They become sink-holes of bad karma, where everyone, out of laziness and
|
|
incivility, treats others in the worst way. There is no obvious reward for
|
|
being honest, honorable, principled, polite. And so these virtues, which truly
|
|
hold together our civilization, are abandoned as self-defeating qualities. All
|
|
of this is because of the density of the human population.
|
|
|
|
24.
|
|
Humans tend to fear the wilderness. A city dweller walking through the
|
|
forest imagines bears, snakes, axe-murderers. A child falling asleep in a tent
|
|
notices all the little sounds around him. A hiker in the West scans the
|
|
terrain for bears.
|
|
In our home turf, where we are familiar with the common dangers, this fear
|
|
takes the form of respect. There is no longer anxiety at the wilderness in
|
|
general, but a set of planned behavior patterns set aside in anticipation of
|
|
known dangers. The Louisiana resident knows what to do in case of a hurricane,
|
|
but is terrified at the thought of a blizzard. The Toronto resident can handle
|
|
snow and keeps sand in the car trunk, but couldn't imagine how to hide from a
|
|
hurricane. The scuba diver knows the shark; the mountain climber knows the
|
|
crack he jams his hand into; the Kansas farmer has plans to handle a tornado.
|
|
But under these forms of respect is the same fear of the wildness of
|
|
nature, which can break through the comfortable routine at any time. We know
|
|
that nature can take away our lives at any time, and that we are fragile. We
|
|
see the wilderness as "out there," and we are "in here." We must look out for
|
|
ourselves lest the powerful and impersonal hand of nature sweep us off the
|
|
earth. We know we will die and we fight back because we don't want to.
|
|
To make our lives more secure, to create a safe and comfortable space for
|
|
ourselves in the chaos, our species has learned how to craft what is around us.
|
|
Our hands make wood into houses and ore into tools. We develop systems for
|
|
arranging plants so they produce maximum food. We develop imaginative ways to
|
|
kill the plants and animals that interfere with our goals.
|
|
|
|
25.
|
|
When something doesn't work, we take notice. We light up inside and look
|
|
around us, taking in the environment to determine what went wrong. Usually we
|
|
assume that things we use every day will work when we pick them up. If the
|
|
spoon I eat my cereal with were to fall apart halfway to my mouth, I'd sit up
|
|
and take notice. The inner light would come on, and I'd start examining my
|
|
utensils more carefully. My motives would become clear to me then: what am I
|
|
trying to do? Eat my breakfast. But the bigger picture? I am trying to eat
|
|
so that I can survive.
|
|
Survival is the underlying issue with this tool, as it is with most tools.
|
|
We use tools to dominate the world so we will be o.k. I want my cereal so I'm
|
|
not hungry; I want my furnace and my clothing so I'm not cold; I want my motor
|
|
vehicle so I can get to work so I can have my cereal and my furnace. When
|
|
these tools break, the environment I have created temporarily is no longer
|
|
fulfilling its purpose: to allow me to survive.
|
|
(Of course, one could insert an idealistic argument here: "Isn't there more
|
|
to life than survival? Love is the ultimate purpose of life. If I have love,
|
|
I have all." But the very fact that we can make these arguments rests on the
|
|
fact that we have enough energy to make them, instead of spending all our
|
|
energy scrounging around for food and shelter.)
|
|
|
|
26.
|
|
What if I were to escape the fear of not being o.k.?
|
|
|
|
27.
|
|
Ethnic groups and nations tend to fear their populations will decline.
|
|
This fear has a competitive component to it: if the neighboring group has more
|
|
people than us, they could overpower us and take our resources.
|
|
Here are a few tiny bits from French history:[7]
|
|
* "A nation must have a population dense enough to keep stable an
|
|
equilibrium with her neighbors." -- Arsene Dumont, 1890.
|
|
* Prior to World War I, French postcards showed a picture of five Germans
|
|
bayoneting two Frenchmen; another showed large German babies looking down on
|
|
smaller French babies.
|
|
* "Denatalite [a lack of births] isn't a health problem, it is a problem of
|
|
national defense of the first order, perhaps the most important of all.
|
|
Tomorrow it will be the problem of national defense in itself." -- Fernand
|
|
Laurent, 1937.
|
|
|
|
28.
|
|
"The adversary in war is the growing crowd of one's neighbors. Their
|
|
increase is frightening in itself, and the threat it contains is enough to
|
|
release the aggressive drive of one's own corresponding crowd.... In this
|
|
rivalry between growing crowds lies an essential, and it may even be the prime,
|
|
cause of wars....
|
|
"For the progeny of man is sparse, coming singly and taking a long time to
|
|
arrive. The desire to be more, for the number of the people to whom one
|
|
belongs to be larger, must always have been profound and urgent ... In war men
|
|
wanted to be stronger than a hostile horde and were always conscious of the
|
|
danger of small numbers.... Man's weakness lay in the smallness of his
|
|
numbers."[8]
|
|
|
|
29.
|
|
"Would that I could gather your houses into my hand, and like a sower
|
|
scatter them in forest and meadow.
|
|
"Would the valleys were your streets, and the green paths your alleys, that
|
|
you might seek one another through vineyards, and come with the fragrance of
|
|
the earth in your garments.
|
|
"But these things are not yet to be.
|
|
"In their fear your forefathers gathered you too near together. And that
|
|
fear shall endure a little longer. A little longer shall your city walls
|
|
separate your hearths from your fields." -- The Prophet, Kahlil Gibran[9]
|
|
|
|
30.
|
|
Listen to me, and we can go back to the promised land. The thing that
|
|
people have been searching for is graspable, is attainable, within the limits
|
|
of what we have now. Peace, plenty, joy, natural beauty, stability, love ...
|
|
there it is, right over there. We just have to walk over there. We just have
|
|
to take the correct bend in the path. The only problem is that it requires
|
|
facing one big taboo ... the number of children brought into the world in
|
|
every generation. But next to the survival of the world, I don't think it's
|
|
that big a deal.
|
|
I'm talking about, and here's the vision, a worldwide, systematic
|
|
consensual non-genocidal non-coercive reduction in the world's population.
|
|
It's the only way to solve our problems, to relax people so they no longer get
|
|
that murderous itch, or the covetousness towards the neighbor's property. It's
|
|
also a great way to create sustainability.
|
|
|
|
31.
|
|
Ask yourself why it might be that Americans have been moving west for 200
|
|
or 300 years, why the center of population keeps moving.
|
|
It's because the people who move don't like the crowds. People like to own
|
|
their own land and have their own space to walk in. They'd rather do that than
|
|
live in a one-room apartment in a city. So they move west to the uninhabited
|
|
land.
|
|
But now we're working at cross-purposes to our own desires for land and
|
|
space and breathing room. Our national population keeps going up. So there's
|
|
less and less land, less and less money per person, and more unfamiliar faces
|
|
on the street. The environment is more damaged with every additional person.
|
|
One more yearly volume of human sewage needs to be absorbed somehow by the
|
|
land. It can't hold an infinite amount.
|
|
|
|
32.
|
|
If we just all calmed down and stopped breeding so much, we could go to the
|
|
Promised Land. It would be right here; it would be every square inch of the
|
|
world.
|
|
|
|
33.
|
|
Imagine a city about 60 years ago somewhere in the central USA. Joe
|
|
Average wants to buy a house there that he and his wife can raise kids in.
|
|
(This is 60 years ago, remember, when women were still in the habit of staying
|
|
at home because they had to in order to have enough children to propagate the
|
|
species.) He finds out that a large tract of land to the north of the main
|
|
city is going to be designated as a park. So, being a quick sort of guy, he
|
|
goes out and buys a lot next to that park, across the street. He has a house
|
|
built. He and his family move in.
|
|
Years pass. The kids grow up and go to college. More houses are built
|
|
around the park. Average houses, not houses you'd consider to be mansion-like,
|
|
but not little boxes either. The city starts to become more populated (that's
|
|
what's causing more houses to be built). Soon, there isn't really any open
|
|
land around the city to speak of. It becomes cheaper to build multi-story
|
|
structures than to expand horizontally, so that's what happens.
|
|
As the city becomes more crowded, more people begin to visit the park,
|
|
because, after all, people like open space with trees and grass. This is o.k.
|
|
with Joe Average. He's a social guy. But soon, as poverty increases in the
|
|
city, he notices that the people walking around the park are starting to look
|
|
resentfully at his house. They could never afford his house on their salary
|
|
(property values around the park have gone up due to the laws of supply and
|
|
demand). Joe starts to get uncomfortable when he goes out to mow his lawn.
|
|
It's a lot different from when it was back when he bought the place, and it was
|
|
all open space with few people. Joe's neighbor's house gets broken into, so
|
|
Joe has to buy an alarm system. Joe's wife has become afraid to walk outside
|
|
at night.
|
|
Now, what is the cause of the degeneration of Joe's neighborhood? Is it
|
|
that he is an oppressor? Is it a social class thing? Is it just the way
|
|
things are, so we might as well accept it? Or does it have something to do
|
|
with population growth?
|
|
|
|
34.
|
|
One of the classic animal models of an increasing population is the
|
|
bacteria culture. A single bacterium, placed on a growth plate, will begin to
|
|
divide and eventually will fill it up. Its growth pattern follows an S-shaped
|
|
curve: the growth starts off slowly, speeds up to an exponential rate, and then
|
|
slows again as the colony reaches a stable population.
|
|
One might be tempted to find this a comforting thought, that even the
|
|
simplest form of life will stabilize its own population. But the reason the
|
|
culture stops growing is because the bacteria begin to starve and are poisoned
|
|
by toxic waste products.
|
|
|
|
35.
|
|
From the Statue of Liberty:
|
|
|
|
"Give me your tired, your poor,
|
|
Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free,
|
|
The wretched refuse of your teeming shore.
|
|
Send these, the homeless, tempest-tossed to me.
|
|
I lift my lamp beside the shining sea."
|
|
|
|
If I ran a country, why would I need to send my masses to America? Why
|
|
couldn't I just send them off to some free land to make homes for themselves,
|
|
make a living, and prosper?
|
|
This is obvious, I think, to most people in the world, but I'll explain
|
|
anyway. It's because there is no more quality land in most countries; so the
|
|
overflow comes here to America, where we have a lot of land that was until
|
|
recently practically unused by modern industrial standards.
|
|
|
|
36.
|
|
In 1994, Vietnam's population reached 72 million people, an increase of 60
|
|
percent since the end of the war with the U.S.A. This made Vietnam the 12th
|
|
most populous nation in the world. By 2025, its population is projected to
|
|
reach 168 million. The nation has a land space roughly equivalent to New
|
|
Mexico's.
|
|
Most employers now are threatening to fire workers who have more than two
|
|
children.[10]
|
|
|
|
37.
|
|
In May 1994, in what was described by United Nations officials as one of
|
|
the largest single-day population shifts in modern history, members of the
|
|
Tutsi ethnic group in Rwanda forced 250,000 Hutus from their homes and across
|
|
the border into Tanzania. Tens of thousands of both groups had been killed.
|
|
In the refugee camp in Tanzania, a few days after the migration, there was
|
|
of course little fresh water and food. Relief workers worked overtime to keep
|
|
the people alive. Corpses floated down the river from the fighting.
|
|
Why would any ethnic group want to remove such a great number of people
|
|
from their land? What is so valuable about land?[11]
|
|
|
|
38.
|
|
We are all rushing toward something as our human population increases. We
|
|
are rushing toward that day when we will all see the root of our problems.
|
|
When we have too many people on the earth as a result of billions of personal
|
|
and private decisions, it destroys what we all have together. On the day when
|
|
we all see that fact, on the day when everyone's life is affected by it, we can
|
|
all together resolve to change it.
|
|
Until that day, there will always be an incentive (from a biological
|
|
perspective) for a small group to multiply and increase its numbers even if the
|
|
rest of the world tried to stabilize itself. That group will increase its
|
|
population relative to the others, and will achieve some measure of dominance.
|
|
But when the day our species as an entity realizes what it has done, we can
|
|
all agree to relax.
|
|
We have dominated the earth. We have proven we can prevail against nature,
|
|
despite the obstacles and adversaries it throws at us. This should be a
|
|
calming thought. It should bring deep peace and reflection.
|
|
When population goes down, there will be more land per person. Real estate
|
|
prices will go down, and everyone can own land and feel space around them.
|
|
Using the efficient farming technology that we developed under the pains of
|
|
population pressure, there will never be hunger. A surplus of crops can be
|
|
fermented into alcohol, and we will never be short of fuel. With fewer people
|
|
and the emerging green technologies, we will have a minimum impact on the
|
|
environment. There will be clean air and water. Without swelling populations,
|
|
without aggression-producing high population densities, and with general
|
|
prosperity, violence and war will decrease.
|
|
|
|
39.
|
|
I have heard that gardeners are among the most well adjusted and happy
|
|
people on this earth. I think it is because their work is the work that we all
|
|
were designed to do.
|
|
Our myths tell us we were given the Garden a long time ago. We screwed up
|
|
back then and we lost it. However, we can get it back.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
|
|
|
|
[1] Calhoun, John B. "Death Squared: the explosive growth and demise of a mouse
|
|
population." Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine, January, 1973.
|
|
66:80-88.
|
|
|
|
[2] Quoted in Kaiser, Rudolf, The Voice of the Great Spirit: Prophecies of the
|
|
Hopi Indians. Trans. Werner Wunsche. Boston: Shambhala, 1991.
|
|
|
|
[3] Auerbach, Jon. The Boston Globe: "A vicious war to the death between
|
|
Azeris, Armenians has been largely ignored." Buffalo News, 5/1/94, p. F8
|
|
|
|
[4] Genesis 1:28.
|
|
|
|
[5] Darwin, Charles. The Origin of Species by Means of Natural Selection, or
|
|
the Preservation of Favoured Races in the Struggle for Life. New York: The
|
|
New American Library, Inc., 1958, p. 75.
|
|
|
|
[6] United Nations Population Fund. The State of World Population, 1992.
|
|
New York: United Nations, 1992, p. 40.
|
|
|
|
[7] Teitelbaum, Michael S., and Jay M. Winter. The Fear of Population
|
|
Decline. New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1985.
|
|
|
|
[8] Canetti, Elias. Crowds and Power. Trans. Carol Stewart. New York:
|
|
Viking Press, 1962.
|
|
|
|
[9] Gibran, Kahlil. The Prophet. New York: Alfred A. Knopf, Inc., 1985.
|
|
|
|
[10] Browne, Malcolm W. "Crowding and Managerial Gaps Imperil Vietnam." The
|
|
New York Times, 5/8/94, p. 1.
|
|
|
|
[11] Lorch, Donatella. "Out of Rwanda's Horrors Into a Sickening Squalor."
|
|
The New York Times, 5/8/94, p. 10
|
|
|
|
Please address all correspondence to: Mike Merrill, P.O.Box 4214, Buffalo
|
|
NY 14217, USA.
|
|
|
|
Additional copies of this document are available for $1.00 plus one stamp.
|
|
Free copies will be provided to members of the press.
|