354 lines
25 KiB
Plaintext
354 lines
25 KiB
Plaintext
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FOREWORD
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To pinpoint the moment in history when the abacus acquired reason is as
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difficult as saying exactly when the ape turned into man. And yet barely one
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human lfie span has lapsed since the moment when, with the construction of
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Vannevar Bush's differential-equation analyzer, intellectronics began its
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turbulent development. ENIAC, which followed toward the close of World War II,
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was the machine that gave rise - prematurely, of course - to the name
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"electronic brain". ENIAC was in fact a computer and, when measured on the
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tree of life, a primitive nerve ganglion. Yet historians date the age of
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computerization from it. In the 1950s a considerable demand for calculating
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machines developed. One of the first concerns to put them into mass production
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was IBM.
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Those devices had little in common with the processes of thought. They were
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used as data processors in the field of economics and by big business, as well
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as in administration and science. They also entered politics: the earliest
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were used to predict the results of Presidential elections. At more or less
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the same time the RAND corporation began to interest military circles at the
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Pentagon in a method of predicting occurrences in the international
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politico-military arena, a method relying on the formulation of so-called
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"scenarios of events". From there it was only a short distance to more
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versatile techniques like the CIMA, from which the applied algenra of events,
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from whihc the applied algebra of events that is termed (not too felicitously)
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politicomatics arose two decades later. The computer was also to reveal its
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strength in the rolw of Cassandra when, at the Massachusetts Institute of
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Technology, people first began to prepare formal models of world civilization
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in the famous "Limits to Growth" project. But this was not the branch of
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computer evolution which was to prove the most important by the end of the
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century. The Army had been using calculating machines since the end of World
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War II, as part of the system of operational logistics developed in the
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theaters of that war. People continued to be occupied with considerations on a
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strategic level, but secondary and subordinate problems were increasingly
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being turned over to computers. At the same time the latter were being
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incorporated into the U.S. defense system.
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These computers constituted the nerve centers of a transcontinental warning
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network. From a technical point of view, such networks aged very quickly. The
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first, called CONELRAD, was followed by numerous successive variants of the
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EWAS (Early Warning System) network. The attack and defnse potential was then
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based on a system of movable (underwater) and stationary (underground)
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ballistic missiles with thermonuclear warheads, and on rings of sonar-radar
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bases. In this system the computers fulfilled the functions of communications
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links - purely executive functions.
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Automation entered American life on a broad front, right from the "bottom" -
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that is, from those service industries which could most easily be mechanized,
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because they demanded no intellectual activity (banking, transport, the hotel
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industry). The military computers performed narrow specialist operations,
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searching out targets for combined nuclear attack, processing the results of
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satellite observations, optimizing naval movements, and correlating the
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movements of MOLS (Military Orbital Laboratories - massive military
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satellites).
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As was to be expected, the range of decisions entrusted to automatic systems
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kept on growing. This was natural in the course of the arms race, though not
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even the subsequent detente could put a brake on investment in this area,
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since the freeze on the hydrogen bomb race released substantial budget
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allocations which, after the conclusion of the Vietnam war, the Pentagon had
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no wish to give up altogether. But even the computers then produced - of the
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tenth, eleventh, and eventually twelfth generation - were superior to man only
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in their speed of operation. It also became clear that, in defense systems,
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man is an element that delays the appropriate reactions.
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So it may be considered natural that the idea of counteracting the trend in
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intellectronic evolution described should have arisen among Pentagon experts,
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and particularly those scientists connected with the so-called
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military-industrial complex. This movement was commonly called
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"anti-intellectual". According to historians of science and technology, it
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derived from the midcentury English mathematician A. Turing, the creator of
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the "universal automaton" theory. This was a machine capable of performing
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basically *every* operation which could be formalized - in other words, it was
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endowed with a perfectly reproducible procedure. The difference between the
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"intellectual" and "anti-intellectual" current in intellectronics boils down
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to the fact that Turing's (elementarily simple) machine owes its possibilities
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to a *program*. On the other hand, in the works of the two American "fathers"
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of cybernetics, N. Wiener and J. Neumann, the concept arose of a system which
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could program *itself*.
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Obviously we are presenting this divergence in a vastly simplified form, as
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a bird's-eye view. It is also clear that the capacity for self-programming did
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not arise in a void. Its necessary precondition was the high complexity
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characteristic of computer construction. This differentiation, still
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unnoticeable at midcentury, became a great influence on the subsequent
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evolution of mathematical machines, particularly with the firm establishment
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and hence the independence of such brances of cybernetics as psychonics and
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the polyphase theory of decisions. The 1980s saw the emergence in military
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circles of the diea of fully automatizing all paramount activities, those of
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the military leadership as well as political-economic ones. This concept,
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later known as the "Sole-Strategist Idea", was to be given its first
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formulation by General Stewart Eagleton. He foresaw - over and above computers
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searching for optimal attack targets, over and above a network of
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communications and calculations supervising early warning and defense, over
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and above sensing devices and missiles - a powerful center which, during all
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phases preceding the extreme of going to war, could utilize a comprehensive
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analysis of economic, military, political, and social data to optimize
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continuously the global situation of the U.S.A. and thereby guarantee the
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United States supremacy on a planetary scale, including its cosmic vicinity,
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which now extended to the moon and beyond.
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Subsequent advocates of this doctrine maintained that it was a necessary
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step in the march of civilization, and that this march constituted a unity, so
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the military sector could not be arbitrarily excluded from it. After the
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escalation of blatant nuclear force and the range of missile carriers had
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ceased, a third stage of rivalry ensued, one supposedly less threatening and
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more perfect, being an antagonism no longer of blatant force, but of
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operational thought. Like force before, thought was now to be subjected to
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nonhumanized mechanization.
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Like its atomic-ballistic predecessors, this doctrine became the object of
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criticism, especially from centers of liberal and pacifist thought, and it was
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oppugned by many distinguished representatives from the world of science,
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including specialists in psychomatics and intellectronics; but ultimately it
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prevailed, as shown by acts of law passed by both houses of Congress.
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Moreover, as early as 1986 a USIB (United States Intellectronical Board) was
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created, subordinate to the President and with its own budget, which in its
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first year amounted to $19 billion. These were hardly humble beginnings.
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With the help of an advisory body semiofficially delegated by the Pentagon,
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and under the chairmanship of the Secretary of Defense, Leonard Davenport, the
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USIB contracted with a succession of big private firms such as International
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Business Machines, Nortronics, and Cybermatics to construct a prototype
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machine, known by the code name HANN (short for Hannibal). But thanks to the
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press and various "leaks", a different name - ULVIC (Ultimative Victor) - was
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generally adopted. By the end of the century further prototypes had been
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developed. Among the best known one might mention such systems as AJAX, ULTOR,
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GILGAMESH, and a long series of GOLEMs.
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Thanks to an enormous and rapidly mounting expenditure of labor and
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resources, the traditional informatic techniques were revolutionized. In
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particualr, enormous significance must be attached to the conversion from
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electricity to light in the intramachine transmission of information. Combined
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with increasing "nanization" (this was the name given to successive steps in
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microminiaturizing activity, and it may be well to add that at the close of
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the century 20,000 logical elements could fit into a poppy seed!), it yielded
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sensational results. GILGAMESH, the first entirely light-powered computer,
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operated a *million* times faster than the archaic ENIAC.
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"Breaking the intelligence barrier", as it was called, occurred just after
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the year 2000, thanks to a new method of machine construction also known as
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the "invisible evolution of reason". Until then, every generation of computers
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had actually been constructed. The concept of constructing successive variants
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of them at a greatly accelerated (by a thousand times!) tempo, though known,
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could not be realized, since the existing computers which were to serve as
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"matrices" or a "synthetic environment" for this evolution of Intelligence had
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insufficient capacity. It was only the emrgence of the Federal Informatics
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Network that allowed this idea to be realized. The development of the next
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sixty-five generations took barely a decade; at night - the period of minimal
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load - the federal network gave birth to one "synthetic species of
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Intelligence" after another. These were the progeny of "accelerated
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computerogenesis", for, having been bred by symbols and thus by intangible
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structures, they had matured into an informational substratum - the
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"nourishing environment" of the network.
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But following this success came new difficulties. After they had been deemed
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worthy of being encased in metal, AJAX and HANN, the prototypes of the
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seventy-eighth and seventy-ninth generation, began to show signs of
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indecision, also known as machine neurosis. The difference between the earlier
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machines and the new ones boiled down, in principle, to the difference between
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an insect and a man. An insect comes into the world programmed to the end by
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instincts, which it obeys unthinkingly. Man, on the other hand, has to learn
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his appropriate behavior, though this training makes for *independence*: with
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determination and knowledge man can alter his previous programs of action.
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So it was that computers up to and including the twentieth generation were
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characterized by "insect" behavior: they were unable to question or, what is
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more, to modify their programs. The programmer "impregnated" his machine with
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knowledge, just as evolution "impregnates" an insect with instinct. In the
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twentieth century a great deal was still being said about "self-programming",
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though at the time these were unfulfilled daydreams. Before the Ultimative
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Victor could be realized, a Self-perfecting Intelligence would in fact have to
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be created; AJAX was still an intermediate form, and only with GILGAMESH did
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a computer attain the proper intellectual level and enter the
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psychoevolutionary orbit.
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The education of an eightieth-generation computer by then far more closely
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resembled a child's upbringing than the classical programming of a calculating
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machine. But beyond the enormous mass of general and specialist information,
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the computer had to be "instilled" with certain rigid values which were to be
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the compass of its activity. These were higher order abstractions such as
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"reasons of state" (the national interest), the ideological principles
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incorporated in the U.S. Constitution, codes of standards, the inexorable
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command to conform to the decisions of the President, etc. To safeguard the
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system against ethical dislocation and betraying the interests of the country,
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the machine was not taught ethics in the same way people are. Its memory was
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burdened by no ethical code, though all such commands of obedience and
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submission were introduced into the machine's structure precisely as natural
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evolution would accomplish this, in the sphere of vital urges. As we know, man
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may change his outlook on life, but *cannot* destroy the elemental urges
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within himself (e.g., the sexual urge) by a simple act of will. The machines
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were endowed with intellectual freedom, though this was imposed on a
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previously imposed foundation of values which they were meant to serve.
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At the Twenty-first Pan-American Psychonics Congress, Professor Eldon Patch
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presented a paper in which he maintained that, even when impregnated in the
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manner described above, a computer may cross the so-called "axiological
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threshold" and question every principle instilled in it - in other words, for
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such a computer thereare no longer any inviolable values. Patch's paper
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stirred up a ferment in university circles and a new wave of attacks on ULVIC
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and its patron,the USIB, though this activity exerted no influence on USIB
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policy.
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That policy was controlled by people biased against American psychonics
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circles, which wereconsidered to be subject to left-wing liberal influences.
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Patch's propositions were therefore pooh-poohed in official USIB
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pronouncements, and even by the White House spokesman, and there was also a
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campaign to discredit Patch. His claims were equated with the many irrational
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fears and prejudices which had arisen in society at that time. Besides,
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Patch's brochure could not begin to match the popularity of the sociologist
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E.Lickey's best seller, *Cybernetics - DeathChamber of Civilization*, which
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maintained that the "ultimative strategist" would subordinate the whole of
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humanity either on his own or by entering into a secret agreement with an
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analogous Russian computer. The result, according to Lickey, would be an
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"electronic duumvirate".
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Similar anxieties, which were also expressed by a large section of the
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press, were negated by successive prototypes which passed their efficiency
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tests. ETHOR BIS - a computer of "unimpeachable morals" specially constructed
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on government order to investigate ethological dynamics, and produced in 2019
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by the Institute of Psychonical Dynamics in Illinois - displayed full
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axiological stabilization and an insensitivity to "tests of subversive
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derailment". In the following year no demonstrations or mass opposition were
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aroused when the first computer in a long series of GOLEMs (GENERAL OPEARTOR,
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LONG-RANGE, ETHICALLY STABILIZED, MULTIMODELING) was launched at the
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headquarters of the Supreme Co-ordinator of the White House brain trust.
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That was erely GOLEM I. Apart from this important innovation, the USIB, in
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consultation with an operational group of Pentagon psychonics specialsts,
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continued to lay out considerable resorces on research into the construction
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of an ltimate strategis with an iformational capacity more than 1900 times
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greater than man's, and capable of developing an intelligence (IQ) of the
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order of 450-500 centiles. The project received the vast funds indispensable
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for this purpose despite growing opposition within the Democratic majority in
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Congress. Backstage plitical maneuvers finally gave the green light to all
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orders already projected by the USIB. In three years the project absorbed $119
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billion. In the same period, the Army and the Navy, preparing for a total
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reorganization of their high command necessitated by the imminent change of
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methods and style of leadership, spent an addiional $46 billion. The lion's
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share of this sum was absorbed by the construction, beneath a crystalline
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massif in the Rocky Mountains, of accommodations for the future machine
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strategist; some sections of rock were covered in armor plate four meters thick
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in imitation of the natural relef of the mountainous terrain.
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Meanwhile, in 2020, GOLEM VI, acting as supreme commander, conducted the
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global maneuvers of the Atlantic Pact. In quantity of logic elements, it now
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surpassed the average general. Yet the Pentagon was no satisfied with the
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result of the 2020 war games, although GOLEM VI had defeated an imaginary enemy
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led by a staff of the finest West Point graduates. Mindful of the bitter
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experience of Red supremacy in space navigation and rocket ballistics, the
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Pentagon had no intention of waiting for them to construct a strategist more
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efficient than that of the Americans. A plan to garantee the United States
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lasting superiority in stategic thought envisaged the continuous replacement
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of Strategists by ever more perfect models.
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Thus began the third successive race between West and East, after the two
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previous (nuclear and missile) races. Although this race, or rivalry in the
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Synthess of Wisdom, was prepared by organizational moves on the part of the
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USIB, the Pentagon, and Naval ULVIC (there was indeed a NAVY ULVIC group, for
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the old antagonism between Navy and Army could be felt even here), it required
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continuous additional investment which, in the face of growing opposition from
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the House and the Senate, absorbed further tens of billions of dollars over
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the next several years. Another six giants of luminal thought were built
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during this period. The fact that there were absolutely no reports of any
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developments in analogous work on the other side of the ocean only confirmed
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the CIA and the Pentagon in their conviction that the Russians were trying
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their hardest to construct ever more powerful computers under cover of the
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utmost secrecy.
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At several international conferences and conventions Soviet scientists
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asserted that no such machines were being in their country whatsoever, but
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these claims were regarded as a smokescreen to deceive world opinion and stir
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unrest among the citizens of the United States, who were spending billions of
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dollars annually on ULVIC.
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In 2023 several incidents occurred, though, thanks to the secrecy of the
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work being carried out (which was normal in the project), they did not
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immediately become known. While serving as chief of the general staff during
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the Patagonian crisis, GOLEM XII refused to co-operate with General T. Oliver
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after carrying out a routine evaluation of that worthy officer's intelligence
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quotient. The matter resulted in an inquiry, during which GOLEM XII gravely
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insulted three members of a special Senate commission. The affair was
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successfully hushed up, and after several more clashes GOLEM XII paid for them
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by being completely dismantled. His place was taken by GOLEM XIV (the
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thirteenth had been rejected at the factory, having revealed an irreparable
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schizophrenic defect even before being assembled). Setting up this Moloch,
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whose psychic mass equaled the displacement of an armored ship, took two
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years. In his very first contact with the normal procedure of formulating new
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annual plans of nuclear attack, this new prototype - the last of the series -
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revealed anxieties of incomprehensible negativism. At a meeting of the staff
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during the subsequent trial session, he presented a group of psychonic and
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military experts with a complicated expose in which he announced his total
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disinterest regarding the supremacy of the Pentagon military doctrine in
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particular, and the U.S.A.'s world position in general, and refused to change
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his position even when threatened with dismantling.
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The last hopes of the USIB lay in a model of totally new construction built
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jointly by Nortronics, IBM, and Cybertronics; it had the psychonic potential
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to beat all the machines in the GOLEM series. Known by the cryptonym HONEST
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ANNIE (the last word was an abbreviation for *annihilator*), this giant was a
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disappointment even during its initial tests. It got the normal informational
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and ethical education over nine months, then cut itself off from the outside
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world and ceased to reply to all stimuli and questions. Plans were immediately
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underway to launch an FBI inquiry, for its builders were suspected of
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sabotage; meanwhile, however, the carefully kept secret reached the press
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through an unexpected leak, and a scandal broke out, thereafter known to the
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whole world as the "GOLEM Affair".
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This destroyed the career of a number of very promising politicians, while
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giving a certificate of good behavior to three successive administrations,
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which brought joy to the opposition in the States and satisfaction to the
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friends of the U.S.A. throughout the world.
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An unknown person in the Pentagon ordered a detachment of the special
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reserves to dismantle GOLEM XIV and HONEST ANNIE, but the armed guard at the
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high command complexes refused to allow the demolition to take place. Both
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houses of Congress appointed commissions to investigate the whole USIB affair.
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As we know, the inquiry, which lasted two years, became grist for the press of
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every continent; nothing enjoyed such popularity on television and in the
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films as the "rebellious computers', while the press labeled GOLEM
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"Government's Lamentable Expenditure of Money". The epithets which HONEST
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ANNIE acquired can hardly be repeated here.
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The Attorney General intended to indict the six members of the USIB
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Executive Committee as well as the psychonics experts who designed the ULVIC
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Project, but it was ultimately shown in court that there could be no talk of
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any hostile, anti-American activity, for the occurrences that had taken place
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were the inevitable result of the evolution of artificial Intelligence. As one
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of the witnesses, the very competent Professor A. Hyssen, expressed it, the
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highest intelligence cannot be the humblest slave. During the course of the
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investigation it transpired that there was still one more prototype in the
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factory, this time belonging to the Army and constructed by Cybermatics:
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SUPERMASTER, which had been assembled under conditions of top security and
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then interrogated at a special joint session of the House and Senate
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commissions investigating the affairs of ULVIC. This led to shocking scenes,
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for General S. Walker tried to assault SUPERMASTER when the latter declared
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that geopolitical problems were nothing compared with ontological ones, and
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that the best guarantee of peace is universal disarmament.
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In the words of Professor J. MacCaleb,, the specialists at ULVIC had
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succeeded only too well: in the evolution granted it, artificial reason had
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transcended the level of military matters; these machines had evolved from war
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strategists into thinkers. In a word, it had cost the United States $276
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billion to construct a set of luminal philosophers.
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The complicated events described here, in connection with which we have
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passed over the administrative side of ULVIC and social developments alike -
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events which were the result of this "fatal success" - constitute the
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prehistory of the present book. The vast literature on the subject cannot even
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|
be calculated. I refer the interested reader to Dr Whitman Baghoorn's
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descriptive bibliography.
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|
The series of prototypes, including SUPERMASTER, suffered dismantling or
|
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|
serious damage partly because of financial disputes between the corporate
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|
suppliers and the federal government. There were even bomb attacks on several
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|
individuals; at the time part of the press, chiefly in the South, launched the
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|
slogan "Every computer is a Red" - but I shall omit these incidents. Thanks to
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|
the intervention of a group of enlightened Congressmen close to the President,
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|
GOLEM XIV and HONEST ANNIE were rescued from annihilation. Faced with the
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|
fiasco of its ideas, the Pentagon finally agreed to hand over both giants to
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|
the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (though only after settling the
|
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|
financial and legal basis of the transfer in the form of a compromise:
|
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|
strictly speaking, GOLEM XIV and HONEST ANNIE were merely "lent" to MIT in
|
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|
prepetuity). MIT scientists who had established a research team which included
|
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|
the present author conducted a series of sessions with GOLEM XIV and heard it
|
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|
lecture on selected subjects. This book contains a small portion of the
|
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|
magnetograms originating from those meetings.
|
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|
The greater part of GOLEM's utterances are unsuitable for general
|
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|
publication, either because they would be incomprehensible to anyone living,
|
||
|
or because understanding them presupposes a high level of specialist
|
||
|
knowledge. To make it easier for the reader to understand this unique record
|
||
|
of conversations between humans and a reasoning but nonhuman being, several
|
||
|
fundamental matters have to be explained.
|
||
|
First, it must be emphasized that GOLEM XIV is not a human brain enlarged to
|
||
|
the size of a building, or simply a man constructed from luminal elements.
|
||
|
Practically all motives of human thought and action are alien to it. Thus it
|
||
|
has no interest in applied science or questions of power (thanks to which, one
|
||
|
might add, humanity is not in danger of being taken over by such machines).
|
||
|
Secondly, it follows from the above that GOLEM possesses no personality or
|
||
|
character. In fact, it can acquire any personality it chooses, through contact
|
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|
with people.
|
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